Early polling numbers show John Kasich with a good chance of winning his home state of Ohio. It looks to be a tight race between Kasich and Donald Trump to win Ohio’s 66 delegates.
The two candidates are tied for first in both the Quinnipiac and CBS News/YouGov polls. Kasich leads in all other major early Ohio polls conducted within the last week.
Kasich faces a must-win scenario in his home state to have any chance of staying in the race for the nomination. A win for Trump would also be a blow to Ted Cruz who is aiming to narrow Trump’s lead in delegates.
Here’s a look at the latest Republican Ohio polls.
RealClear Politics Average
RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the Ohio polls. The average includes data from six polls. The Quinnipiac poll conducted March 8-13, the Monmouth poll conducted March 11-13, the ARG poll conducted March 12-13, the CBS News/YouGov poll conducted March 9-11, the NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll conducted March 4-10 and the FOX News poll conducted March 5-8.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
John Kasich | 38.0 |
Donald Trump | 34.3 |
Ted Cruz | 18.0 |
Marco Rubio | 4.7 |
Quinnipiac
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted March 8-13. It has a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
John Kasich | 38 |
Donald Trump | 38 |
Ted Cruz | 16 |
Marco Rubio | 3 |
Monmouth
The Monmouth poll was conducted March 11-13. It has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
John Kasich | 40 |
Donald Trump | 35 |
Ted Cruz | 15 |
Marco Rubio | 5 |
ARG
The ARG poll was conducted March 12-13. It has a margin of error of 5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
John Kasich | 44 |
Donald Trump | 38 |
Ted Cruz | 12 |
Marco Rubio | 2 |
CBS News/YouGov
The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted March 9-11. It has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
John Kasich | 33 |
Donald Trump | 33 |
Ted Cruz | 27 |
Marco Rubio | 5 |
NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist
The NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll was conducted March 4-10. It has a margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
John Kasich | 39 |
Donald Trump | 33 |
Ted Cruz | 19 |
Marco Rubio | 6 |
FOX News
The FOX News poll was conducted March 5-8. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
John Kasich | 34 |
Donald Trump | 29 |
Ted Cruz | 19 |
Marco Rubio | 7 |