Bernie Sanders faces long odds for the rest of the race. (Getty)
April 26 was a disaster for Bernie Sanders. Hillary Clinton took Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, and Connecticut, with Sanders winning only the comparatively delegate-poor Rhode Island primary. The updated delegate count puts Hillary Clinton a little more than 200 delegates from the Democratic nomination.
| Democratic Delegate Count (2,383 Needed) | |
| Hillary Clinton | 2,165 |
| Bernie Sanders | 1,357 |
Clinton notches her second win of the night, CNN projects t.co/ud3Wy2I4r0 #PrimaryDay t.co/klWNOY8GWZ
With Sanders running out of states, he’ll need some major wins to pull off a victory or even force a contested convention. Unfortunately, the polling, projections and odds from California, Indiana and New Jersey greatly favor Clinton.
Here’s a look at the state of the race:
The Polls: Clinton Up Big
Polls from the three most delegate-rich states, as aggregated by RealClearPolitics and Huffpost Pollster, favor Clinton by a wide margin:
| California RealClearPolitics Averages | 475 Delegates |
| Hillary Clinton | 49% |
| Bernie Sanders | 42.5% |
| Indiana Huffpost Pollster Averages | 83 Delegates |
| Hillary Clinton | 48.5% |
| Bernie Sanders | 43.5% |
| New Jersey RealClearPolitics Averages* | 126 Delegates |
| Hillary Clinton | 57.8% |
| Bernie Sanders | 27.8% |
*Limited recent polling
Projections: Major States Favor Clinton
FiveThirtyEight, which uses a polls-plus forecast utilizing factors like endorsements and previous results to give context to the polls, has Clinton as the favorite in the three biggest primaries:
| FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast: Indiana | |
| Hillary Clinton | 91% |
| Bernie Sanders | 9% |
| FiveThirtyEight Poll Tracking: New Jersey | |
| Hillary Clinton | 51.1% |
| Bernie Sanders | 41.3% |
| FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast: California | |
| Hillary Clinton | 89% |
| Bernie Sanders | 11% |
