Bernie Sanders faces long odds for the rest of the race. (Getty)
April 26 was a disaster for Bernie Sanders. Hillary Clinton took Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, and Connecticut, with Sanders winning only the comparatively delegate-poor Rhode Island primary. The updated delegate count puts Hillary Clinton a little more than 200 delegates from the Democratic nomination.
|Democratic Delegate Count (2,383 Needed)|
With Sanders running out of states, he’ll need some major wins to pull off a victory or even force a contested convention. Unfortunately, the polling, projections and odds from California, Indiana and New Jersey greatly favor Clinton.
Here’s a look at the state of the race:
The Polls: Clinton Up Big
Polls from the three most delegate-rich states, as aggregated by RealClearPolitics and Huffpost Pollster, favor Clinton by a wide margin:
|California RealClearPolitics Averages||475 Delegates|
|Indiana Huffpost Pollster Averages||83 Delegates|
|New Jersey RealClearPolitics Averages*||126 Delegates|
*Limited recent polling
Projections: Major States Favor Clinton
FiveThirtyEight, which uses a polls-plus forecast utilizing factors like endorsements and previous results to give context to the polls, has Clinton as the favorite in the three biggest primaries:
|FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast: Indiana|
|FiveThirtyEight Poll Tracking: New Jersey|
|FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast: California|