Although Nevada has just six electoral votes, the state and its fast-growing population are important building blocks for a winning presidential campaign. The state hasn’t gone to a losing presidential candidate since 1976, when the state went to Gerald Ford. Nevada voters went for Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama each time they were on the ballot. In 2016, the state is up for grabs again and polls haven’t shown much of a gap between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.
Here’s a look at the polls conducted in Nevada so far, via 270towin.com. The latest showed a bump for Trump after the Republican National Convention, although others gave Clinton a lead.
June GQR Research Gives Trump Slim Lead
The June GQR Research poll sampled just 300 likely voters. It found Trump led, 47-45 percent over Clinton, with a 5.7 percent margin of error. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson received 9 percent support when he is included, with Trump and Clinton receiving 44 percent each.
Candidate | % |
Trump | 47 |
Clinton | 45 |
Other | 8 |
Monmouth University July Poll Gives Clinton Four-Point Lead
On July 11, Monmouth University released a poll with 408 likely voters as the sample size and a 4.9 percent margin of error. This one gave Clinton a four-point lead over Trump, but 14 percent of those polled said they supported other candidates. The poll found that Johnson had 5 percent support when he was considered.
Candidate | % |
Trump | 41 |
Clinton | 45 |
Other | 14 |
Rasmussen Poll Gives Trump Post-RNC Boost
A poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports for KTNV showed a slim lead for Trump after the RNC wrapped up last week. The poll had a larger sample size with 750 likely voters and a four percent margin of error. According to FiveThirtyEight.com, Rasmussen leans Republican in its polling.
Candidate | % |
Trump | 43 |
Clinton | 38 |
Other | 19 |