Jon Rahm
Price: $11,000
Fading Dustin Johnson is never easy, but it's a little easier when Rahm comes in at $2,000 cheaper. The 22-year-old superstar has been a revelation all year, but in his last seven tournaments, he has a win, he has four Top-10 finishes (two of which came at WGC events) and his worst finish was a T27 (which came at the Masters). He ranks second on Tour in strokes gained to green, which is probably the most predictive stat to look at when we don't have any course history, and he tears up both Par 4's (third in scoring) and Par 5's (16th in scoring), which will be key on a lengthy Par 72.
With DJ's back injury serving as an unknown variable, Rahm could be called the favorite and it wouldn't be crazy. (Getty)
Lucas Glover
Price: $8,600
Glover had a tough week playing the team format in Zurich, but that's no reason to fade him. In his previous 11 starts, the 37-year-old veteran made 10 cuts and racked up five Top-25 finishes, with three of the latter coming in the last couple of months. Moreover, he grades out better than almost anyone in this field in terms of statistical profile, as he ranks 14th in strokes gained off the tee, 10th in strokes gained approaching the green, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and third in GIR percentage.
The putter is what often holds him back, but unfamiliar greens should results in high variance throughout the field in that department. In other words, tee-to-green game and ball striking are more predictive of success at a new course, and Glover is one of the best in that regard. (Getty)
Kevin Kisner
Price: $8,400
Last week at the Zurich Classic, Kisner teamed with Scott Brown to shoot a final-round 60--which was capped by a ridiculous hole-out eagle on the 72nd--to force a playoff but ultimately came up just short. His second runner-up finish of the year and sixth in the last three seasons is likely quite frustrating for those who bet him to win, but for DFS purposes, it's just a continuation of his red-hot play.
Counting those two runner-ups, he has now piled up four Top-10's and eight Top-25's in 13 events this season, and he's been inside the Top 20 in five consecutive non-majors. With that kind of run, who cares if he doesn't ultimately win? He is pegged by oddsmakers as the No. 6 favorite this week--and yet he's just the 16th most-expensive player on DraftKings this week. He'll probably be popular, but that kind of value is too good to pass up. (Getty)
Daniel Berger
Price: $8,300
Berger's missed cut along with Thomas Pieters at the Zurich Classic marked the fourth time he has failed to play the weekend in his last nine starts. But in between those MC's, he has finishes of fifth, seventh, 16th and 27th, with the latter coming at Augusta. There are elevators that have less ups and downs than the 24-year-old.
Nevertheless, while there is risk involved, there is obviously a lot of upside, as indicated by his 69.89 scoring average (21st on Tour) and 24.42 birdie-or-better percentage (14th). In GPP and tournament formats, he's worth the gamble. (Getty)
Shane Lowry
Price: $6,900
Much like with Glover, Lowry is good ball-striker (22nd in strokes gained off the tee, 46th in strokes gained approaching the green, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 45th in GIR percentage) who can be shaky on the greens (85th in strokes gained putting). Once again, though, the tee-to-green game is more reliable in predicting success at an unfamiliar track, so there's a lot to like here about the Irishman.
It's been an unspectacular year for him, but he has the game to provide really nice value at this bargain of a price. (Getty)
Alexander Noren
Price: $6,600
Sure, he's not playing all that well, as he missed the cut at the Masters in his last start and has just one Top-10 across the PGA Tour and European Tour this season. But he's also not playing bad enough--he is mostly playing strong-field events and has only missed one cut all year--to make me not want to spend $6,600 for the 12th-ranked player in the world. He's too talented not to make some quality noise at this tournament. (Getty)
DraftKings PGA Lineup: Wells Fargo Championship 2017 Optimal Picks