Antonio Brown Fantasy: Should You Start AB in His Patriots Debut?

Antonio Brown

Getty Antonio Brown has 177 receiving yards in two career games against Miami.

When the New England Patriots visit the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, they will be doing so in Antonio Brown‘s first game with the team.

But whether he will play is still the question following recent allegations of rape.

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Brown’s acquisition by the Patriots was controversial from the start given its close proximity to his release by Oakland and how quickly the deal happened. ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported that the team was “caught off guard” by the allegations.

But if he is to dress against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, it’ll be a situation to monitor. He hasn’t played a game in eight months and had a slow training camp where he never strung three or more days of practice together with his helmet and feet issues.


Antonio Brown Fantasy Outlook: Matchup vs Miami

Brown has only played in two prior games against the Dolphins while a member of the Steelers. In those contests, Brown had a combined nine catches on 18 targets for 177 yards and a touchdown.

His 19.67 yards per catch against Miami is his highest versus any opponent he’s played. However, his 50 percent catch rate is tied for his lowest against any NFL team.

Brown has lined up for upwards of 80 percent of his team’s offensive snaps over the past several years. He was undoubtedly the Steelers WR1 and one of the highest-scoring fantasy receivers of the decade.

But let’s remember this is Brown’s debut with the team. Looking back at other notable receivers making their New England debut, Josh Gordon last season had just two catches for 32 yards in his first game with the Patriots. In 2012, Brandon Lloyd had five grabs for just 69 yards. And Brandon LaFell in 2014 had no catches on six targets in his Patriots debut.

But then there are guys like Randy Moss. In his first game with New England, he caught nine passes for 183 yards and a touchdown. Or even Brandin Cooks, who in 2017 had three catches for 88 yards. It’s tough to tell how Brown projects to contribute but it hasn’t been mostly positive in past Patriots’ debuts. 


Should You Start or Sit Brown in Week 2?

Antonio Brown has been one of the top point-producing receivers in fantasy for years now. And while his involvement in the Patriots offense is unsure, he had zero drops last season and is known to run good routes against tight coverage.

However, with the possibility of him getting placed on the commissioner’s exempt list, per Schefter due to the recent accusations. In turn, this is a TBD situation, but it may be wise to just avoid using Brown this week.

Not to mention he hasn’t had a training camp to prepare. Learning one of the most complex offenses in the NFL has his challenges as seen in past debuts, save for Moss.

To be safe this week, keep Brown on your bench. But if you want to risk it and start him, make sure you have other capable receiving options.