As the 2026 WM Phoenix Open approaches, Scottie Scheffler sits firmly atop the betting odds as the player to beat. Listed around +220 to +230 to win at TPC Scottsdale, he carries the shortest price in the field due to a dominant early season and exceptional history at this event. Scheffler enters off a strong stretch that included multiple wins and top-tier performances, reaffirming his place as world No. 1 and the favorite in golf’s rowdiest tournament environment.
His pedigree at this venue matters. Scheffler has already won the Phoenix Open twice in recent years and is comfortable navigating the wide fairways and firm greens that define the Stadium Course. Critics often point to his quiet demeanor, but it’s precisely that blend of precision and poise that makes him a favorite among bookmakers and bettors alike. If he can channel that same consistency across four rounds, he stands as the obvious pick to walk away with another title and a big payday.
Contenders and Dark Horses
Right behind Scheffler on the leaderboard and the odds board is Xander Schauffele, who typically matches consistency with firepower. Listed around +1700 to +2000, Schauffele has often been in the mix here without quite capturing the crown, and his length and iron play make him a natural threat to surge in the high-scoring Scottsdale conditions.
Another player drawing attention is Si Woo Kim at about +2500, often ranked among the more underrated threats. He’s been striking the ball well this season, and metrics point to him being one of the best around the greens – an asset on a course that rewards aggressive approaches and scrambling ability. Despite that, some models caution that Kim could struggle to stay inside the top five given his past record here.
Hideki Matsuyama also sits near the top of the list with similar odds, thanks to his pedigree and previous success in the desert peaks. A two-time Phoenix Open champion, Matsuyama combines elite iron play with course savvy – though his putting will likely determine just how high he can climb on Sunday. Players with major experience often handle marquee events like this better than most, and he’s no exception.
Mid-Tier Outsiders With Value
Beyond the primary favorites, there’s a deep list of mid-range odds players who could shake things up. Cameron Young, priced around +2000 to +2500, brings recent form and distance off the tee that’s well-suited to a wide course like TPC Scottsdale. Viktor Hovland, while not always in the headline conversations here, adds intrigue after skipping the early season before a T14 in Dubai and entering a lively crowd atmosphere that suits his gutsy play.
Other players like Ben Griffin, Sam Burns, Maverick McNealy, Collin Morikawa, and J.J. Spaun populate the +3000 to +3500 range, representing sound mid-tier options for better payouts. Models and expert bettors often look at these guys as top-10 candidates or long-shot winners, especially in an event known for surprises – just ask recent winners like Nick Taylor and Thomas Detry, both of whom came from unexpected positions to claim glory.
Longshot Picks With Potential Payoffs
For bettors chasing big returns, the Phoenix Open always offers eye-catching prices on long shots. Brooks Koepka, fresh off his return to Tour play, sits around +4000 to win – attractive if you believe his experience and power game can handle Scottsdale’s challenges. Meanwhile, players like Jordan Spieth, Sahith Theegala, and Pierceson Coody sit even further down the board, offering opportunities for upside results if they find hot streaks early.
Golf betting models have even thrown up suggestions for long-shot parlays, highlighting golfers with higher odds that could outperform expectations based on recent form and historical scoring patterns at Scottsdale. Those looking for high rewards often back multiple long shots in combination – a strategy that can multiply returns in a tournament known for volatility and crowd-induced momentum swings.
Phoenix Open Odds Are Live – And the Field Is Loaded