Packers vs. Cowboys Odds: Point Spread, Total & Prediction

packers vs cowboys week 6 2016 betting odds preview line point spread over under total game prediction pick

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. (Getty)

The Green Bay Packers will get their first look at the new-look Cowboys when Dallas visits Lambeau Field on Sunday.

Led by rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, and a dominating offensive line, the Cowboys have won 4 straight games to improve to 4-1.

The Packers (3-1) have just one blemish on their 2016 resume, a 17-14 loss at undefeated Minnesota.

Game time is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. Eastern and it will be televised by FOX.

Here’s a complete look at all the betting info you need to know, as well as a prediction of the Week 6 game:


Packers vs. Cowboys Week 6 Betting Info

Note: All odds and numbers courtesy of OddsShark.com and are updated as of October 15

Spread: Packers (-5)

Betting Percentages: 52 percent for Packers (-5)

Over/Under: 47

Betting Percentages: 67 percent on Over 47

Season Results: Packers 3-1 straight up; 1-2-1 against the spread; 2-2 for the OVER/UNDER — Cowboys 4-1 straight up; 4-0-1 against the spread; 3-2 for the UNDER


Prediction

It’s the top rushing offense in the league vs. the No. 1 run defense.

Elliott leads the NFL in a number of categories — rush yards (546), yards per game (109.2), carries of 20+ yards (5) and first downs (31). He’s gone for 412 yards over the past 3 games, though Chicago, San Francisco and Cincinnati rank in the lower third in run defense.

Run defense is the Packers’ strong suit defensively. They have allowed just 171 yards through 4 games (42.8 per game on a 2.0 yard per carry average) and the longest run given up is 14 yards. This will be Green Bay’s stiffest test. While the Pack held Adrian Peterson in check in Week 2, they haven’t faced another good rushing team (Jaguars, Lions and Giants).

The Cowboys’ other first-year player, quarterback Dak Prescott, is playing more like a seasoned pro, combining for 7 touchdowns (4 pass, 3 rush) and, more importantly, zero turnovers. He’s playing smart and isn’t trying to do too much in the passing game. There’s a chance Prescott will get No. 1 target Dez Bryant (knee) back, but No. 88 will likely be a game-time decision.

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers hasn’t hit the 300-yard mark in 11 games (dating back to last season). And he’s completing just 56.1 percent of his passes this year. With that being said he’s got a 9 to 3 TD to INT ratio. Dallas’ secondary has been rather stingy, so don’t expect Rodgers to hit 300 Sunday. But it doesn’t mean he won’t be effective. He will be.

A potential concern can be found in the Green Bay backfield. Both Eddie Lacy (ankle) and James Starks (knee) are questionable. Starks is unlikely to play, while it’s believed Lacy will suit up.

Can the rookies go into Lambeau and beat the Packers? I don’t believe so. Green Bay is 16-3 in its last 19 home games and will do just enough to hold the pesky Cowboys off. If this game was being in played in Dallas, I’d go with the Cowboys. But it’s not.

The Packers, though, have had trouble covering the spread at home, going 2-4-1 ATS in the past 7 at Lambeau. Dallas, on the other hand, is 13-6 ATS in its past 19 away games.

I’m also looking at UNDER as that has won 13 of Green Bay’s last 19 games and 7 of Dallas’ past 10. Couple that with the effective defenses both teams are playing and this projects as a lower-scoring affair.

The Pick: Packers 23-20 (Packers win straight up, Cowboys cover the spread, the UNDER wins)