The U.S. Open is upon us, which means that the final few days before the big event need to be filled with researching of odds and fantasy value for players. This year’s event will be played at Erin Hills, which features some of the toughest and most interesting holes in all of golf.
Obviously, there are plenty of names worth talking about, but one of the hottest and most intriguing players out there is rookie Jon Rahm. Rahm had his breakout performance back at the 2016 U.S. Open, and after a T23 finish opted to go pro. Rahm’s had an impressive start to his pro career and rightfully is a solid choice to win the U.S. Open this year.
While Rahm is in contention as a player worth potentially betting on, his odds are looking up at the defending champion Dustin Johnson.
Now, let’s take a deeper dive into the betting odds on the U.S. Open from Odds Shark. We’ll also check into the realistic potential that Rahm has to win the Open, and what type of fantasy play he’ll be this week.
Jon Rahm U.S. Open 2017 Odds
Right there after four of the top golfers in the entire world, you’ll find Rahm’s name listed in the odds. While sifting through the top bets on the board, you’ll find plenty of value and a few players who could be tough to figure. Johnson enters as a fairly large favorite at +600, but Rahm joins an elite class of players who have +2000 odds or lower.
Here’s a look at the top 20 heading into the Open:
Dustin Johnson: +600
Rory McIlroy: +900
Jordan Spieth: +1000
Jason Day: +1100
Jon Rahm: +1600
Hideki Matsuyama: +2000
Justin Rose: +2000
Sergio Garcia: +2200
Rickie Fowler: +2200
Henrik Stenson: +2500
Adam Scott: +2800
Brooks Koepka: +3300
Justin Thomas: +3300
Thomas Pieters: +3300
Branden Grace: +4500
Alexander Noren: +5000
Paul Casey: +5000
Louis Oosthuizen: +5500
Matt Kuchar: +5500
Patrick Reed: +5500
When evaluating where Rahm stands, the best thing to go off is going to be his performance last year, as well as his recent play. Rahm ranks No. 4 in the FedExCup standings, so his play could warrant him consideration as a bet in any event. Even more impressive is the fact that he’s made 14 of 15 cuts on the PGA Tour this season. The issue? His only missed cut came at the Memorial Tournament in his last event.
One missed cut probably isn’t a big enough reason not to bet on Rahm, as there’s a good chance he was looking ahead to the Open.
When looking back at Rahm’s first U.S. Open stop, it’s pretty impressive on paper. After posting a 76 in the opening round, he posted a 69, 72 and 70 in the final three rounds, proving that he got more comfortable as the event went on.
For a player holding odds of +1600, Rahm may very well prove to be the hottest bet on the board, and for good reason. This course fits his game, which is why he’s ranked in the top two in the Erin Hills power rankings.
Jon Rahm’s Fantasy Stock
If you’re looking to get Rahm in your fantasy lineups this week, it’s going to cost you a pretty penny. He enters as the sixth-most expensive player on DraftKings for the U.S. Open. Rahm is a part of the $10,000-plus club, which places him among the elite players in this group. That includes Johnson ($12,000), Spieth ($11,500), McIlroy ($11,200), Day ($10,800), Fowler ($10,500), Rahm and Garcia ($10,000).
Aside from Rahm’s one missed cut this season, he’s been consistently reliable. Of his 14 made cuts, he’s finished in the top 25 in 10 events and top 10 seven times. He’s also won one event, has two second-place finishes and a third. The only concern is his T72 finish at The Players Championship and T27 at the Masters.
The consensus on Rahm is that he’ll likely have high ownership, making him a great cash play. While the high ownership isn’t as appealing in GPPs, his tremendous upside and potential to win this event make him an excellent all-around addition to your DraftKings lineup regardless.