Aaron Jones Fantasy: Should You Start or Sit the Packers RB in Week 10?

Aaron Jones


Favorite Captains for Packers vs. Seahawks

When choosing captains, I'll cut the list down to anywhere between 4-6 players, depending on the slate. This is more than some players choose to go with, but I try to leave myself flexibility as the construction of rosters can lead to you having to pivot around a bit. The names I'll break down for DraftKings showdowns below all include captain pricing of 1.5x more than standard. Along with the names below, there's a chance I'll use a few other players in certain spots, but that depends on the risk/reward of going cheap in the captain spot. The other options to consider as captains are names I'll use in lineups, though, as I try to lock in on a core of my favorite targets across the board and build around them. – Russell Wilson ($18,300) – Davante Adams ($17,700) – Aaron Jones ($13,500) – Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($11,700) – Doug Baldwin ($10,800) – Chris Carson ($7,500) *Aaron Rodgers ($19,200, too expensive as captain for me), Tyler Lockett ($12,000), Jimmy Graham ($8,400, revenge) are also in play. Favorite expensive/mid-range captains: Love top three quite a bit Top value-saving captains: Chris Carson, Marquez Valdes-Scantling (both priced too low) I'll likely mix up the options between expensive and salary-saving plays at captain in this game. I like Russell Wilson quite a bit, specifically due to the recent struggles of the Packers. Along with that, Wilson has run the ball quite a bit more as of late now that he's healthy (more to come on that). There's a good chance the Seahawks quarterback has the highest ceiling of anyone in this game. Marquez Valdes-Scantling is a name I expect to have huge ownership here due to his price. The Packers are without Randall Cobb for this game, so it'll be a lot of Valdes-Scantling and Davante Adams. Obviously, putting a top wideout in a solid spot at captain when his price doesn't break the bank is appealing to build around. Aaron Jones will likely be the highest owned player, but understandably so. He's picked up steam in recent weeks and looks to be completely dominant right now. In the Packers' Week 10 game against the Miami Dolphins, Jones saw his most touches of the season (18). He turned 15 carries into 145 yards (9.7 yards per carry) while scoring touchdowns. Let's dive right in and check out the optimal lineup first and move along to the 150-max and single entry/cash lineups after.

There may be nothing more frustrating than the Green Bay Packers running back situation for fantasy football owners. While it seemed Aaron Jones was well on his way to fully taking over the backfield and becoming a clear-cut No. 1 back, Mike McCarthy seems to consistently throw curveballs. In turn, fantasy players are left heading into Week 10 attempting to figure out the exact value of Jones.

The good news is that the Packers’ 23-year-old running back saw a season-high 16 touches in Week 9 against the New England Patriots. He had a solid day, rushing for 75 yards on 14 carries, but the concern has more to do with the snap count situation. While Jones continues to lose work to Jamaal Williams, there’s reason for optimism about his outlook for Week 10 and beyond.

Let’s take a look at whether to start or sit Jones in the matchup against the Miami Dolphins.

Should You Start or Sit Aaron Jones?

While Jones went from out-snapping Williams 32-13 in Week 8 to 43-31 last week, per Football Outsiders, a part of that had to do with the game flow it seems. The Packers fell behind in the fourth quarter and were playing catch up, which typically leads to Williams seeing more work in that role for the most part.

With the Packers unlikely to be playing from behind much against the Dolphins, they have a strong matchup which bodes well for Jones. On the season, Miami has allowed 235 attempts for 1,080 yards and seven touchdowns to opposing running backs. Beyond that, they’ve also allowed 51 receptions for 480 yards and three receiving touchdowns, a positive for any pass-catching work Jones sees.

I’d go back to the well and use Jones once again in Week 10. He had another strong day last week and while he didn’t find the end zone, he could easily top the 16 touches he received in that game. I’m fine starting the Packers running back in all leagues with 12 teams or more and he’s in flex consideration for 10-teamers.

READ NEXT: Mike Davis Fantasy: Seahawks RB a Start With Chris Carson News?

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