The Texans take on the Chiefs in the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. The Chiefs open as a 7.5-point favorite over the Texans in the spread, per OddsShark. The over-under is set at 50 points.
The Chiefs were expected to take on the Patriots, but a Titans upset means the Texans are headed to Kansas City. The Texans defeated the Chiefs 31-24 on October 13 at Arrowhead Stadium, so Houston does have experience winning in Kansas City. The stakes will be a bit higher in the postseason.
Deshaun Watson struggled with turnovers in their initial matchup. Watson went 30-of-42 for 280 passing yards, two interceptions and one touchdown. The Texans quarterback was effective with his legs rushing for 42 yards and two touchdowns. Carlos Hyde also played a key role with 26 carries for 116 yards and a touchdown.
The Chiefs were not able to get anything on the ground going. LeSean McCoy led the team in rushing with just 44 yards as the team had a total of 53 rushing yards. Patrick Mahomes came up big in a losing effort with 273 passing yards, three touchdowns and an interception while completing 19-of-35 passes.
The AFC Holds the Super Bowl Favorites
Vegas expects the Super Bowl champion to come out of the AFC as the Ravens are the favorites at +220 while the Chiefs are second in the odds at +375, per OddsShark. The Texans were well down the list at No. 9 with +4000 odds.
Kansas City is the No. 2 seed and went 11-5 against the spread this season. Chiefs games were split evenly between the over and under at eight games each. Kansas City will have a massive home-field advantage for the Divisional Round against the Texans thanks to the Dolphins win over the Patriots in Week 17.
The Texans Survived a Thrilling Overtime vs. Bills
Houston needed overtime to advance to the Divisional Round. The Texans got off to a slow start but Watson was able to make incredible plays both in the second half and in overtime to keep their season alive. Watson discussed the team’s ability to recover from a slow start.
“We knew exactly what they were going to do in the second half,” Watson said, per ESPN. “All we had to do was just kind of get back in that routine and find that rhythm.”
Prediction: The Chiefs Defeat the Titans to Advance to AFC Championship
The Texans have a major challenge against the Chiefs in the Divisional Round. It is hard to imagine the Texans making it to the AFC Championship, but Watson’s playmaking abilities give the team a chance in any game. The Chiefs have been the superior team over the course of the season but did lose to the Texans when they last squared off.
Even though the Texans have experience beating the Chiefs this season, this is a much better Kansas City team they will be facing. It will also be a bit more of a test to play at Arrowhead Stadium in the playoffs. We like the Chiefs to defeat the Texans and narrowly cover the spread on their way to face the Ravens in the AFC Championship.
Heavy’s Pick: Chiefs 31 Texans 23. Chiefs Cover -7.5 Spread. Over on the Total.