The Indianapolis Colts are a tough team to bet because a majority of the country is still waiting for them to turn back into a pumpkin. You are what your record says you are and the Indianapolis Colts are a 2-0 football team with a chance to keep the foot on the gas in a very easily winnable game against the Tennessee Titans.
If they want to do so, they are going to need their first round rookie Tyler Warren to find continued success. Through two weeks, Warren has 155 yards on just eleven receptions. He surpassed 75 yards in each of his first two games, with longs of 41 and 21.
Despite this, Vegas has still not adjusted his yards. He is leading the entire NFL in tight end yardage, including Dalton Kincaid who has one more game played.
His line is set at o46.5. But the real reason why he is in a great position is because of the way Shane Steichen is simplifying the offense for Daniel Jones.
His (Daniel Jones) 97% first-read target rate was the highest in any game since Fantasy Points Data began charting that metric (2021). Jones now has an 84.1% first-read target rate for the season,” writes Charlie Wright of Action Network.
This means, despite his success, Jones has rarely had to get off of his first read. He has been effective in getting the ball that first read, who often times early in this season has been Tyler Warren.
So, who leads the Colts in first-read target rate? Of course it’s Warren at 24.5%,” Wright continues. “Warren paces all tight ends (minimum 25 routes) in targets per route run at 29%. Warren is 3rd in yards per route run at the position (minimum 25 routes) behind only the Green Bay tight ends.”
Warren o46.5 is the play.
Colts’ Anytime Touchdown Market
As far as ATTD’s go for the Colts, you can’t go wrong with anybody not named Jonathan Taylor. JT is -200 everywhere which is just not worth the value. But the ying to that yang is that the rest of the Colts‘ roster is +200.
You can get in on Danny Dimes, who can both scramble and tote the rock in a designed run, to score for +195 and well into the 200s on some books. Jones has scored on the ground three times this season already, including twice against the Dolphins. His two touchdown market is up around the 2000s if you think he can do it again.
The rookie Tyler Warren still hasn’t found the end zone. He presents great value at +240 even though he leads the team in receptions.
For a long shot we have backup running back DJ Giddens. Say you think this game will look more like the Dolphins game than the Broncos. Giddens, who had 12 carries for 41 yards in Week 1, is +1300 to get a touchdown today.
Why Tyler Warren Will Hit His Over, Colts Player Props Week 3