Ohio Republican Polls 2016: Donald Trump Has Narrow Lead

Ohio GOP polls, primary, polling numbers, favorite

Donald Trump and John Kasich appear to be fighting for Ohio. (Getty)

John Kasich has made it clear that the success of his campaign will depend on how well he does in Ohio. He has admitted he will step out of the race if he fails to win his home state of Ohio.

March 15 is decision day for Kasich and Marco Rubio. Like Kasich, Rubio faces a must-win scenario in his home state of Florida. A loss by both candidates would likely lead to a two-man race between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz for the GOP nomination.

With the Ohio primary happening in just a few days, early polling has been limited. PPP conducted the most recent poll on March 4-6. The poll showed Trump with a narrow three percentage point lead over Kasich. Kasich is banking on doing well in the upcoming Midwest primaries, but he finds himself trailing the leading candidates in delegates by a wide margin.

A win by Trump in Ohio would give him all 66 delegates and would be a big victory as he attempts to get enough delegates to clinch the nomination.

Here’s a look at the early Ohio Republican polls.


RealClear Politics Average

RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the Ohio polls. The average includes data from two polls: the PPP poll and the Quinnipiac poll. The PPP poll was conducted March 4-6, and the Qunnipiac poll was conducted February 16-20.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Donald Trump 34.5
John Kasich 30.5
Ted Cruz 18.0
Marco Rubio 9.0

PPP

The PPP poll was conducted March 4-6. It has a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Donald Trump 38
John Kasich 35
Ted Cruz 15
Marco Rubio 5

Quinnipiac

The Quinnipiac poll was conducted February 16-20. It has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Donald Trump 31
John Kasich 26
Ted Cruz 21
Marco Rubio 13