Kentucky voters are projected to hand Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has held the seat for more than 30 years, another term in office. His opponent, former Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath, faced a difficult challenge; Kentucky has elected only Republicans to the Senate since 1998.
Libertarian candidate Brad Barron was also on the ballot. Polls were open on Election Day from 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. local time, according to the Kentucky State Board of Elections. Absentee ballots had to be postmarked by November 3 and must be received by 6 p.m. on November 6 to be counted.
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See the Most Recent Senate Election Results From Kentucky & the Map of Votes Across the State
Results in the race for Kentucky’s contested Senate seat can be viewed below, updated in real-time. Hovering over each county will show localized results.
Kentucky officials expected to have as much as 90% of the state’s ballots counted on election night, The New York Times reported, because election officials were permitted to process absentee ballots ahead of time. The state also saw massive numbers of people vote early in-person.
Nearly 900,000 people had voted early in-person as of October 30, the Louisville Courier-Journal reported, and more than 570,000 absentee ballots had already been turned in. The newspaper added that early voters represented 74% of the total number of people who voted in 2016.
Kentuckians were also voting on House races. The incumbents included five Republicans and one Democrat seeking reelection. According to The Associated Press, the 6th Congressional District was expected to be a close race. Representative Andy Barr, who was first elected in 2012, faced Democrat challenger Josh Hicks. The 6th District contains Lexington and its suburbs, as well as the cities of Richmond and Frankfort.
In the 1st Congressional District, Representative James Comer sought a third term against Democrat James Rhodes. In the 2nd District, Representative Brett Guthrie faced Democrat Hank Linderman. The 3rd Congressional District pitted Representative John Yarmuth against Republican challenger Rhonda Palazzo. In the 4th District, Representative Thomas Massie sought reelection against Democrat Alexandra Owensby. Representative Harold Rogers, who has been representing Kentucky’s 5th Congressional District since 1981, faced Democrat Matthew Ryan Best.
The results for the House races can be viewed below by clicking on Kentucky on the map or by selecting Kentucky from the dropdown menu. Hovering over the district will show the results for each race.
McConnell Was Predicted to Win a 7th Term in the Senate
Few polls were conducted in Kentucky in the weeks leading up to November 3. But one by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, released on October 21, suggested a safe victory for McConnell. The poll found McConnell ahead of McGrath by 9 percentage points, with a margin of error of 4 percentage points.
McGrath led among voters from the Louisville area by 56% to 36%. But McConnell maintained large leads in the rest of the state, including by 26 percentage points in Kentucky’s rural areas. His edge appeared in spite of a less-than-stellar favorability rating among constituents.
Quinnipiac University conducted a poll in September that predicted McConnell would win by 12 percentage points over McGrath. But among likely voters, 46% reported holding an unfavorable opinion of McConnell, compared to 44% who held a favorable view of the sitting senator; 48% said that he was not honest.
Of those surveyed, 47% shared an unfavorable view of McGrath and only 34% said they held a favorable opinion of her, while 18% of respondents said they had not heard enough about her to form an opinion.
The Race Between McConnell & McGrath Was the Most Expensive in Kentucky History
McConnell has been serving in the Senate since 1984 and is one of Capitol Hill’s most visible leaders nationwide. In her mission to unseat him, McGrath’s campaign raised substantially more money than McConnell.
According to Spectrum News, this race marked the most expensive Kentucky has ever seen. McGrath raised more than $88 million during her campaign, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. McConnell’s team raised more than $55 million. Those numbers were last updated on October 14.
Despite all the fundraising, McGrath faced an uphill battle in part due to the fact that Kentucky has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1992. The late Wendell Ford represented Kentucky in the Senate from late 1974 until January 1999. He decided against running for reelection in 1998 and retired. His successor was Republican Jim Bunning, who retired in 2010. Current Senator Rand Paul was elected that year.
Follow the 2020 Presidential Race Results From Across the Country & the Updated Electoral College Map Below
Heavy has partnered with Decision Desk HQ for live election results from across the country. Those results can be seen below:
Decision Desk HQ is also tracking the race to 270 Electoral College votes, the number needed for either Trump or Biden to secure the presidency. Those results are available below: