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Early Voting Results & Turnout State-by-State: Who’s Leading?

early voting

Voters line up waiting for the polls to open, on the first day of early voting at the Provo Recreation Center, on October 25, 2016 in Provo, Utah. Early voting in the 2016 presidential election begins October 25 for Utah residents and is open until November 4. (Getty)

More than 12.6 million Americans had already voted as of October 28, and early voting is showing signs of strength for Hillary Clinton that matches most recent polling.

Democrats are exceeding their 2012 early voting tallies in some states, such as North Carolina, Nevada, Colorado, and Arizona. Trump is holding steady in Ohio, Iowa, and Georgia, but even the latter state went for Mitt Romney by a greater margin than Trump is polling on average there. Furthermore, Clinton can still win the Electoral College even if she loses the above states where Trump is performing well, and she’s encroaching on states that almost always go red.

Polls show she is running closer than expected in Texas (last won by a Democratic presidential candidate in 1976) and in Arizona, which, other than Bill Clinton squeaking through in 1996, last voted for a Democratic president in 1948. Although it’s less clear in Texas, which doesn’t report party affiliation of early voters, Arizona early voting trends match the polling by indicating that Hillary Clinton has a shot there.

It’s obviously a danger sign that Trump is defending what is normally reliable Republican turf this late in the game. It all adds up to a scenario in which the Republican nominee is on defense in the waning days of the campaign, although he’s accused pollsters of oversampling Democrats and is claiming the polling results are phony. You can see different Electoral College pathways for both candidates here.

Even more ominous for Trump, though, there are some signs that Clinton is “showing strength” in Florida early voting with high numbers of Democratic requests for mail-in ballots compared to 2012. Republicans do lead in overall early voting ballot returns there; thus, Fox News says Trump has a “potential advantage” in Florida as a result. Others say early voting has demonstrated some indications of strength for Clinton in a state where polling has been extremely tight.

However, the early voting largely occurred before FBI Director James Comey stunned the country by sending Congress a letter October 28 saying that the FBI was reviewing a new cache of emails found in an unrelated investigation (it turns out to be the Anthony Weiner sexting investigation). Comey wrote that the agency wants to see whether they are significant to the agency’s previous investigation into Clinton’s email server. Some have criticized Comey’s decision to release the letter, and Clinton has demanded the FBI provide more details. A few states allow people to change early votes and are reporting some people are doing so.

Democratic early voting in North Carolina and Florida is outpacing Barack Obama’s 2012 pace and Republican early voting was behind Mitt Romney’s pace – a trend seen in some other battleground states.

Florida and North Carolina, in particular, could be pivotal and allow Clinton to survive losing a state like Ohio. In reverse, if Trump wins those states, he’s in a much stronger position (and a new Bloomberg poll out of Florida on October 26 has Trump leading that state by 2 percent, within the margin for error). Still, Clinton can afford to lose some of the swing states where Trump is strong if she wins a series of other battleground states. Trump needs to exceed Romney’s results across the country to have a chance.

It’s important to remember that states only report early voting by party affiliation and not actual vote tallies, so it’s not certain for whom registered Democrats or Republicans voted. Some states don’t even provide early voting party affiliation, but geographic analysis can provide clues (such as the fact that populous Texas areas that are more favorable to Democrats have had a huge surge in early voting).

Furthermore, how “unaffiliated” voters cast their ballots could matter (there are a lot of them in some states – 2 million or so in North Carolina alone), and it’s possible some people crossed over from their party to vote for a third party candidate or candidate from the opposite party. That’s especially true as both candidates are perceived negatively even by some voters in their own parties, coming out of contested primaries (and with Trump in outright war at times with the GOP establishment.) It’s been a volatile election year that has defied traditional expectations time and again. And Trump is not a traditional Republican nominee.

Some experts don’t think early voting is a very good way to predict elections, in part because they are voters who were likely to vote anyway. However, as early voting increases across the nation in recent years, that could change somewhat. Some conservatives argue that the enthusiasm seen at some Trump rallies could mean his voters will want to vote in person on election day (although strong enthusiasm could also lend one to believe a person might cast an early vote because his or her mind is thoroughly made up).

It’s more likely to mean something when there’s been an early voting increase over 2012, as we are seeing in some battleground states for registered Democrats. However, an analysis of 2012 early voting returns by FiveThirtyEight found only a weak correlation to final voting tallies. The site noted: “Yes, the relationship is positive, but it’s pretty noisy…knowing how a party is doing in early voting doesn’t tell you much about how it will do once all the votes are counted.” In some states, like Nevada, the early Democratic early voting edge was up compared to 2012 in the first days but is not level with 2012.

early voting ohio

Women exit a voting precinct open for early voting on October 25, 2016 in Akron, Ohio. Ohio has become one of the key battleground states in the 2016 presidential election with both candidates or their surrogates making weekly visits to the Buckeye State. Unlike other parts of America, Ohio has both a rapidly aging and declining population; it is also overwhelmingly white and has a high degree of residents without a college education. (Getty)

Associate Professor Michael McDonald wrote in a detailed analysis for The Huffington Post that: “Despite weakness for Clinton in the Midwest, Clinton looks well-positioned in other states Trump still needs for an Electoral College victory.”

Early voting was causing long lines, despite efforts in some states to controversially restrict early voting locations and hours. In Ohio, where early voting was restricted, it’s down. Thirty-seven states and D.C. offer early voting.

Early voting has been on the rise nationally. Fivethirtyeight reported that, in 2000, 16 percent of votes for president were cast early, but the number rose to 36 percent in 2012. This could also bode well for Clinton as it gives Trump less time to recover from the series of misconduct allegations that hit him just as the polls had become a virtual tie. Since then, Clinton has widened the gap, although a few recent polls (but not others) showed Trump was recovering in polling somewhat. Clinton leads an average 5.4 percent in RealClearPolitics polling averages.

Here’s what you need to know about early voting in some key states as of October 29:


Arizona

arizona early voting

First Lady Michelle Obama greets the crowd after speaking at an Arizona Democratic Party Early Vote rally in support of Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton. (Getty)

In Arizona, reported Fox News, more registered Democrats have voted early than registered Republicans, although there’s no way to know for sure for whom they actually voted.

ABC News reported that Democrats “have a 44 percent to 31 percent lead over Republicans in ballots returned. Another 25 percent were independent or unknown.” In 2012, Democrats were also leading, but the margin was tighter: 38 percent to 35 percent, according to Catalist, ABC said. That speaks to a surge of Democratic engagement (or at least early voting).

CNN says that, as of October 26, registered Democrats are ahead by 4,116 votes, up from this time in 2012, when they were behind by more than 21,000 early votes.

Arizona has more registered Republicans than Democrats, and a recent poll showed the state deadlocked. The fact that Trump is defending states that should be reliably red bodes well for Clinton. He was ahead 1 percentage point in the most recent poll, but she leads by 1.5 percentage points in polling averages for that state.

2016 Electoral College Possibilities: Donald Trump & Hillary Clinton’s Path to 270

Based on recent polling, what does the Electoral College map look like? What are Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton's likely pathways to 270 Electoral votes?

Click here to read more

North Carolina

north carolina early voting

North Carolina residents wait in a line to get into the Charlotte Mecklenburg University City Library to early vote on October 24, 2016 in Charlotte, North Carolina. Over five million people have already voted in battleground states including Florida, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina. (Getty)

North Carolina is shaping up to be one of – if not the single most – important states for both candidates.

Fox News said more Democratic registered voters have voted early in North Carolina than Republicans. That’s up slightly from their early voting advantage in 2012 (whereas Republican early voting was down slightly). Again, it’s not clear whom people voted for, though. TechRepublic found that many more Democrats have early voted in North Carolina than Republicans (CNN says by more than 100,000 votes), but what matters most is how those trends compare to 2012.

The slight increase in Democratic early voting is not good news for Trump, though, since Romney won North Carolina by only 2 percent in 2012. However, there are some caveats.

According to CNN, an ominous sign can also be found for Clinton in the data; the percentage of African-American voters has dropped in North Carolina since the last presidential election. More early voting polling places were being opened Thursday and Friday, which could boost that turnout.

The Citizen Times said on October 29 that “registered Democrats participating in early voting have consistently outpaced Republicans and unaffiliated voters” buy added a caution, “In the first week the total number of early voters in North Carolina has been less than during the same time in 2012. The percentages of Democrats and Republicans have also been lower than four years ago with unaffiliated voters the only group to gain ground.”

You can see detailed absentee voting data (by mail and in-person early voting) for North Carolina here. More than 778,000 voters have sought absentee ballots (in person early voting or by mail) in North Carolina, according to the spreadsheet on the Secretary of State’s website. The site even breaks the data down by voter. The New York Times conducted a detailed analysis of those voters’ demographics and North Carolina voting history and is currently predicting a 6 percent Clinton victory in North Carolina based on a unique extrapolation of the statistics.

Public Policy Polling polled early voters and found that 63 percent said they voted for Hillary Clinton and 37 percent for Donald Trump.

In North Carolina, 17 counties controversially decreased the number of early voting locations, said NBC News; this has resulted in long lines at some polling places and lower early voting tallies. NBC said one county, Guilford County, which houses the largely black city of Greensboro, “cut early voting locations from 16 to just one.” This has resulted in declining early voting totals in North Carolina overall.

Clinton is up an average 2.4 percent in RealClearPolitics polling averages. The three most recent polls showed her leading in North Carolina (but they were taken before the FBI letter into her emails).

There are more Democratic registered voters in North Carolina than Republican.


Florida

Early voting! #vote #makefreedomcount #ownthevote2016 #election2016 #imwithher

A photo posted by mdmachlin (@mdmachlin) on

Registered Republicans were up very slightly over Democrats in the more than 3.2 million early ballots received through October 29, counting both mail-in ballots and in-person early votes. The Florida Secretary of State was reporting October 29 that Democrats had an edge in early in-person voting, and Republicans in by mail voting.

Total early Republican votes: 1,330,579 (40.8%)
Total early Democratic votes: 1,307,187 (40.1%)
Total unaffiliated votes: 540,565 (16.6%)
Total early votes cast: 3,258,034
(There are also a much smaller number of votes categorized as other)

Voted by mail:

Republican: 786,643
Democrat: 724,738
No party affiliation: 306,236
Other: 47,124
Total: 1,864,741

Voted early in person:

Republican: 543,936
Democrat: 582,449
No party affiliation: 234,329
Other: 32,579
Total: 1,393,293

See county-by-county tallies here. See Florida voting locations, times, and other early voting information here.

There are limitations to the data. In 2008, even though Republicans led in Florida early voting by a large percentage, Obama won the state, said Fox.

However, in 2012, Democrats earned 43 percent of early Florida votes, and Republicans earned 40 percent, Politico said.

The Associated Press says that, historically, Democrats score higher tallies in Florida early voting with Republicans leading in mail-in ballots. The same is true here, but Clinton is keeping it somewhat close in mail-in voting, which The AP says bodes well for her due to the typical GOP edge in that category. Still, this year, when you count mail in and in person early votes, Republicans have a slight edge, according to data from the Florida Secretary of State.

Furthermore, it’s unclear how unaffiliated voters cast their ballots, and they represent 16.6 percent of the early voting totals as of October 29.

In polling, Clinton leads an average 0.7 percent in Florida on October 29, down almost a point in just a few days. The race has tightened in Florida, and it’s in the margin for error. Two recent polls, by Bloomberg and Dixie Strategies, showed Trump up 2 and 4 percent. However, a third recent poll, by the University of Florida, found Clinton up 4. The polls have not yet captured the time frame after FBI Director James Comey sent a letter to Congress saying the FBI would investigate newly discovered emails to see whether they have significance to the FBI investigation of Clinton’s email server.

Florida Early Voting Results by County & Polling Hours 2016

The 2016 presidential election has begun in Florida, with millions already casting their ballots. Here are all the results and polling hours you need to know.

Click here to read more

Ohio

ohio early vote

People exit a polling precinct open for early voting on October 25, 2016 in Akron, Ohio. Ohio has become one of the key battleground states in the 2016 presidential election with both candidates or their surrogates making weekly visits to the Buckeye State. (Getty)

Unlike other states, Ohio does not register a person’s party affiliation when they vote early (but does record which primary they voted in last time.)

McDonald conducted a geographic analysis of the early voting results instead, and he found that mail early ballot requests are down in Democratic strongholds but up elsewhere, which bodes well for Trump.

Cleveland.com also found signs of hope for Trump in Ohio early voting tallies, writing that, “the number of ballots cast in Cuyahoga and other key Democratic counties is lagging behind early voting totals from 2012, when President Barack Obama was victorious.”

Republicans restricted the number of early voting days in Ohio, leading to a massive drop overall since 2012, said CNN, and “Democrats have a slight lead in the early balloting, but their lead is smaller than in 2012.” Obama won Ohio by about 3 points in 2012.

Polling trends show the race in the margin for error in Ohio, with Trump registering a lead.

Trump leads by an average 1.1 percent in Ohio polling averages.


Iowa

early voting

Millions of Americans have already voted early. (Getty)

There’s promising news for Trump in Iowa, says ABC News. Obama counted on a large early vote tally to win Iowa in 2012, and overall early voting is down in Iowa this year by more than 100,00 votes.

This year, Republican early voting is slightly outpacing Republican early voting in Iowa in 2012 as a percentage of the whole (Democratic is almost level but slightly down by a smaller amount, and unaffiliated voter early voting is down).

The Des Moines Register reported, “…Democrats have out paced the Republicans for number of requested and returned absentee ballots.” Obama won Iowa in 2012 by more than 5 percentage points”

Early voting is down sharply in Iowa overall, however.

The specific numbers, according to The Iowa Secretary of State as of October 29: 177,506 early votes for Democrats (44.5%); 136,957 for Republicans (34.3%); 83,126 no party listed (20.9%); and 1,142 listed as other.

For comparison: As of October 25, 2012, 135,091 early votes were registered for Republicans (32%); 192,435 for Democrats (45%); 95,586 for no party listed (22.5%); and 474 listed as other.

Trump leads an average 1.4 percent in Iowa polls. However, that’s in the margin for error and represents a tightening in the race.


Colorado

Early voting returns for 2016 show a dramatic Democratic lead in early voting. The Secretary of State combines both in-person and mail-in voting. As of October 25, more than 117,000 Democrats in Colorado had cast ballots, and just over 94,000 Republicans. Seventy thousand were listed as unaffiliated. The advantage is particularly strong for Democrats in some key swing areas, The Denver Post says.

The Denver Post has an early voting ballot tracker. The most recent data as of October 29 showed: Democrats 269,066; Republicans 241,750; unaffiliated 177,225; other, 3,412. The tracker shows that Democrats dramatically improved their early voting totals since 2014 (but that’s a midterm year, not a presidential election). Republican tallies are also up but by nowhere near as much. The wildcard: Unaffiliated early votes have also jumped.

9News reported, “things look good for Colorado’s Democrats this year.”

Clinton leads 6.2 percentage points in Colorado polling averages, although her lead in the most recent poll there was 2.

In 2014, more Republicans voted early in Colorado than Democrats (that dynamic has flipped now), but that was not a presidential year. In 2012, in Colorado, Republicans led early voting slightly. Obama won Colorado by over 5 points in 2012.


Texas

According to The Texas Tribune, many Texas counties were seeing “record-breaking turnout figures on the first day of early voting Monday,” leading to long lines at some precincts.

The Tribune said some counties reported that almost double the number of votes were cast compared to 2012. The newspaper has a round up of early voting totals in Texas’ most populous counties. There is higher early voter turnout in populous areas with stronger Clinton support than in 2012:

Texas historically has been a reliably Republican state, though, not a swing state. However, some recent polls have shown Clinton closer in Texas than analysts expected.

Texas does not report early voters’ party affiliation. The Texas Secretary of State reported October 24 that almost 6 percent of registered voters had already voted either in person or by mail.

Texas is now considered a battleground state by some – or close to it. According to The New York Times, Democrats are still calling a Clinton victory in Texas a long shot, but even Republicans think she might make it closer than expected in a state Obama lost by 1.3 million votes.

Trump’s candidacy may be accelerating trends that had already begun taking shape in Texas. The state has one of the fastest-growing Latino populations in the country, and Trump’s campaign rhetoric on immigration in particular has threatened to undo gains that past Republicans made with Latinos nationwide. Texas is also home to a relatively high volume of college-educated white voters, who traditionally vote Republican but are moving away from Trump in recent polling.

Still, Trump leads an average 4.6 percent in averages of recent Texas polls.


Nevada

Democrats have a large edge in early voting in the swing state of Nevada as of October 29, with 44.74 percent of the in-person early vote, compared to 35.60% Republican and 19.66 percent listed as other, according to the Nevada Secretary of State. That’s a slight improvement for Republicans, though, compared to the previous days. Democrats have a 9.14 percent edge in early voting. That’s down slightly though from 2012.

In 2012, Obama won the state. In 2012 week 1 early voting, Democrats had a lower percentage of early votes but also a smaller edge over Republicans (9.63). Obama still won Nevada by almost 7 percentage points. Republicans have increased their margin in mail-in early ballots since 2012, when they ran about even with Democrats. There are more in-person early votes than mail-in ballots, though.

There are 1.679 million registered voters in Nevada.

Clinton is ahead an average 1.6 percent in polling averages in Nevada (in the margin for error), and the most recent poll, by NBC, showed the race there now tied.

Nevada Early Voting Results & Polling Hours 2016

Nevada, a battleground state, is holding early voting for registered voters. The turnout has already exceeded 2012's numbers and appears to favor Democrats.

Click here to read more

Utah

The advantage Republicans hold against Democrats in early voting in Utah has shrunk from 22,000 votes in 2012 to 3,509 this year, said CNN.

In partly Mormon Utah, where Mitt Romney has been vocal in his distaste for Trump, Republican early voting numbers dwarf those of Democrats. However, there are almost as many unaffiliated voters as there are Republicans. And polls have shown that enough of them dislike Trump to make Utah the only state where Independent candidate Evan McMullin has been running strong in the polls.

McMullin is a former CIA agent born in Utah who is a member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, like many Utah residents, The Associated Press says.

Does Evan McMullin Have a Chance to Win Utah?

Evan McMullin is a relative unknown around the county, but the third party candidate is gaining traction in Utah. Could he beat Donald Trump there?

Click here to read more

Minnesota

WCCO-TV said it was the first year early voting was allowed in Minnesota and added that it was “smashing records across the state” and over 350,000 people had already voted or requested absentee ballots.
The St. Paul Pioneer Press said more than 250,000 people had actually early voted as of October 28.

Clinton is up an average 5 points in Minnesota, although one recent poll showed her way up and another was a tie.


Georgia

Trump appears to have an advantage in Georgia, according to Fox News, although the state does not break down early voting tallies by party affiliation. CNN said Clinton probably needs a strong black turnout to win Georgia but reported that “the African-American share of the early vote is slightly lower than it was at this point in 2012.”

The Georgia Secretary of State said on Twitter on October 28 that more than 1.05 million Georgians had already cast early votes:

Over 1.9 million early votes were cast in Georgia in 2012 in the presidential contest, but the numbers are up so far to date.

Trump is ahead an average 2.8 in Georgia polling. Romney won Georgia by almost 8 points in 2012.

The Washington Post reported that Democrats have raised a series of election concerns, including that “one of the state’s largest counties offered only one early-voting site” and voter registration deadlines were not extended after Hurricane Matthew.


Wisconsin

In Wisconsin, an email came to light in which a Green Bay city clerk had raised questions about allowing early voting on a university campus because she said the student vote favored Democrats and a Democratic legislator, among others, had asked for the site.

Clinton is up an average 6.7 percent in Wisconsin polls.

Wisconsin does not tally early votes by party affiliation. The state’s Election Commission last reported October 21 that 223,643 votes had been cast. CNN says early voting in Wisconsin has more than tripled compared to 2012.

More than 680,000 early ballots were returned by election day, according to the state Election Commission, although a small number of those were ultimately rejected.

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116 comments

    • They haven’t, their just counting people and what party they are registered to. So even if more Democrats have voted early that doesn’t necessarily mean they voted for Clinton as we know there are a lot of Democrats crossing over this election cycle.

          • Thank you for your opinion. Have you thus looked at Bill Clinton’s colorful past? Or for that matter, Hillary’s if you really want to dwell into this. Personally,If you think this is the most important thing this election is about, you might want to do some fast studying the FACTS, or recuse yourself from casting a vote without knowing what you are doing or why.

          • Trump has already gotten my early vote. If you want a PROVEN impeached rapist in the East wing of the White house vote for hillary, she has a PROVEN history of protecting rapists and intimidating their victims. If you care about your country’s and your children’s future, vote Trump! Set aside the media’s rhetoric and look at the important FACTS.

            • Speaking of facts, Michael, you left out quite a few; ” . . . she has a PROVEN history of protecting rapists and intimidating their victims . . .” Hillary was assigned by an Arkansas judge to defend an accused rapist. She went to the local District Attorney, and asked to be taken off the case. The District Attorney refused to do so. As her oath required, she defended the accused to the best of her ability. Had she not, the accused rapist would have had grounds for a mistrial on the grounds of ineffective counsel. In adhering to the oath required of all attorneys, the accused rapist was found guilty of a lesser charge. Afterwards, she went about and set up a statewide Rape Crisis Hotline in Arkansas. Her opposing District Attorney is on record as stating she was a diligent attorney, and had great respect for her.

              Your other statement, “Set aside the media’s rhetoric” . . . where exactly are you getting your so-called facts from? Donald Trump, and his self-proclaimed “truthful hyperbole?”

        • You people who is voting for Trump don’t like black people, you want vote for Hillary because she is standing behind the first black president and why, he is (Dem) I voted for Hillary and not Obamo, why because I did not know him, but when she lost I voted for Obamo, not because he was black, but because he was(Dem) I am true to being a(DEM) I have nothing aganist Trump but he is in it for his purpose and not the people, if he wins you people gone be sorry not the poor blacks, because we always survive we have all ways been last. The poor white people will get hit hard, there will be war in this land, this christain nation will be forgotton. I feel sorry for you Trump lovers, HE LAUGH AT YOU BEFORE HE GO TO BED! He eat good meals. but one day that will end for him to if he become president, the Lord will come will have to come down early because Trump is going to divide the world, he has alread started. God bless us all! Hillary emails should not cause her to lose the election, and Trump promblems should not cause himm to lose the election it is about who have the most experince in running the white house not just telling people you go bulid a wall,

          • Rose, do you think Hillary who clearly does NOT understand about national security and the responsibility of protecting America’s secrets is experience required to run the WH? If you think her emails that are on the UNSECURED/private server don’t present a threat to our national security, then you need to go back to bed and not go to the polls to vote. Your ignorant vote may kill us all.

          • I don’t care if your black, blue, purple gold or yellow, has nothing to do with my liking you. Your beliefs are what count. Don’t bring race into the subject and blame Trump voters. Hillary paid for the riots and caused a lot of distruction at Trump Rallies. Create problems and blame the other side. Thats why she is being investigated again, and again. If Hillary emails show lack of protection to the USA, then Yes she is incompetent to protect the USA or be our Commander & Chief. No I didn’t vote for Obama either, I new his leaning to Islam before he even knocked Hillary out of the running. I want some one Strong and capable of protecting the USA. Someone who knows how to negotiate good deals, and knows bad deals when he see’s one. Someone who will put a stop to this freeloading on the USA. Someone who will look at the middle class people and protect us. Obama & Hillary will not do this, She will will just double the debt we already have, she cant run her own house much less this country.

          • And you my dear are so misguided it is slanting your views. Bill Clinton in the WH again will make it just another whore house again as he did before. Not the White House we want. Corruption be gone. Lets clean it up one more time and level the field. Tired of the corruption, the stealing, the lies, the time is now or never.

        • Every other major news media outlet, as if you didn’t know this? Fox’s Megan Kelly attacks trump on sexual ALLEGATIONS all the time, and to her and everyone i say this: Trump has already gotten my early vote. If you want a PROVEN impeached rapist in the East wing of the White house vote for hillary, she has a PROVEN history of protecting rapists and intimidating their victims. If you care about your country’s and your children’s future, vote Trump! Set aside the media’s rhetoric and look at the important FACTS.

          • Michael, Clinton was found NOT GUILTY by Congress at his impeachment trial–another convenient fact you left out. Fox News has the largest audience viewership of any media outlet, and with Sean Hannity and Bill O’Reilly alone, Trump is given daily benediction!

            “Proven impeached rapist.” Really, Michael? Proven by who or what? Rabid Clinton-hater rants? Funny, when Clinton is accused of sexual assault it’s true, but when Trump is, it’s a lie; at least according to Trump supporters!

            I care about ALL the country’s children, not just my own . . . and that’s one of the biggest problems in this country . . . we’ve become a nation of individuals who care about no one but ourselves.

            • Clinton was not found guilty because DC is a swamp and a cesspool, not because she’s innocent. Corruption runs from the WH to DOJ, FBI, IRS, DHS. It’s difficult to prove Hillary guilty when she used BleachBit to permanently destroyed her emails and have people smashed her devices, then they all pleaded 5th. You seem to be very low informed as you are missing all these points.

    • They are not – this article is completely misleading. All they can count is the number of registered Dems or registered Repubs that have voted, but they can’t tally who they voted for yet. I am a registered Dem in NJ but WILL NOT be voting for Clinton so they wouldn’t know until Nov 8th that I made the switch over.

    • Really, Clinton own Fox News, Breitbart, Rush Limbaugh, and those of similar ilk . . . hmm, wonder why they treat her like dirt, given she owns them . . . and of course, we know that if Donnie wins it’s all because of him; but, if he looses, it will be because Clinton owns the media . . . where’s this brilliant deal maker he repeatedly purports to be . . . could it be that the American public is say “No Sale????”

      • You got everything wrong ,Clinton’s have been in countries politics and lobbying business for over decades .if you know about corpoorate donors , medias and politics . l leave you there…

        • So, the hundreds of millions of dollars that Trump owes foreign banks, his self-proclaimed adoration for Putin, having his clothing line manufactured in multiple countries outside the US, and using his foundation’s donor’s money for a 6 foot tall portrait of himself isn’t a problem for you, but Hillary Clinton traveling to foreign countries as a required of her Secretary of State job duties is a problem. As far a media ownership, as others have posted before me, why do so many media outlets trash her??

          • Who cares about their personality I care about undocumented Syrians coming to the USA if you are Catholic, Christian, or just a sexy romping infidel , do not think you will sleep well with Clinton’s 500% increase of them They killed in Florida, California , & New York why on earth would anyone have a death wish as to allow that many people into the USA we have enough problems & we do not need more of it here .You will get no help from Hillary I can assure you she is money & power crazy & she will forget you as soon as she has your votes she said Democrats are stupid & the easiest to manipulate .Where was she during all these recent floods ,& hurricanes didn’t see her out helping people or donating any money to help the people she only cares about herself I have seen it since back in Arkansas don’t worry about Trumps accusations her husband did rape & her side kick Huma’s husband is some kinda sex weirdo he was just recently caught again so now you have two sex predators in the White House but it won’t matter when ISIS her supported army get here she has a bunker 4 mansions & a foreign army to protect her . While people set back & vote her in office to take more taxes , & what ever else you have worked so hard for better add you kids names to your property , house , accounts, business, because of her new inheritance tax your family may not can afford it & lose all you have ever worked to leave them now that is just stone cold you do not have to vote a straight Republican ticket but for President Please think it over your family’s life & ours is at stake .

          • Trump was a businessman traveling around the world making money. Hillary was a so-called “public servant” who was supposed to be representing the people’s interests, not filling her slush fund’s coffers.

            • “Trump was a businessman traveling around the world making money.” I find the “making money” part of your statement just a wee bit ironic . . . 6 bankruptcies, and a near-billion dollar loss . . .the only reason he survived was, like the Wall Street types that screwed us over too (Lehman Bros., etc.), he was “too big to fail.”

              BTW, these slush fund coffers, can you provide some documentation? I’m sure you’re not referring to the Clinton Foundation, that, by the independent Charity Navigator, gave the Foundation a 4-star rating, and documented that it regularly gives 90% of it monies away.

              • The Clinton Foundation had to revise several years worth of tax filings to finally report tens of millions in foreign donations it “forgot” about. So where was that money and where did it go that it was “forgotten about” until NY “reminded” them through their own investigation that all of those funds were received by the foundation,but not reported to the IRS? If you use the foundation as a vehicle to gain access to foreign money and to allow easier access to you so that you can DIRECTLY make tens of millions through those contacts paying your husband tens of millions of dollars that he would not have otherwise made had people involved with the foundation and State Dept. not worked on his behalf to gain those engagements and business deals, then the foundation itself directly does not have to give you money. But you can use the foundation to steer its monies to award contracts to friends and cronies of the family. And in return for such considerations, those same people can work on your behalf to help you make contacts that will make you money outside of the foundation. There does not need to be a direct paycheck to those people from the foundation for the foundation to be used and abused in such ways.

                For example, let us say I donate $100,000 to someone. They award that money to a company a friend of their’s owns for work to be completed say in some place like Haiti. But the work is either not done, never finished, or is completed at a price higher than what anyone else would have charged. Then later someone from that company gets in touch with me about future business opportunities that will allow me to make more than the $100,000 I donated. While no money goes directly into any of our pockets directly from the foundation in the form of direct compensation, we all end up making money off of our connections to it. And as our relationships grow and the network expands, you end up with all kinds of people who will gladly pay your former President husband more than it is worth to give speeches to justify the kickbacks they are paying you for allowing them to be a part of the club….before you know it, you have $150 million in the bank from all of your “charitable” work. It really is not that hard to understand that is how all of this works, is it? Not if you are willing to be intellectually honest about it…plus it helps the new release of e-mails helps verify many parts of what I outlined above. Wake up,

          • So Trump owes money to foreign banks, hey it is HIS money and not the taxpayers money. As for all the adoration of Putin, I have admiration for Putin. Putin is a strong leader of his country and he doesn’t take crap. So Trump manufactures clothing lines in other countries, just like many other companies. What the hell do you have to stand on? You are ignoring all the perjury she committed, and the favors she accepted for payment from all these foreign countries, while Sec. of State. Trump has done nothing to hurt this nation, and for you and others to throw all this BS out there just shows that you have nothing major against him. The media outlets trashing her? Are you kidding? Oh man, you people are clueless, and you sure don’t care about all the lawlessness coming from her. Good luck with that.

        • Of course, I have everything wrong … because we all know that only Trump supporters know the truth .. yeah, the truth of their echo chamber … is Hillary Clinton without flaws … of course not, but lobbying other countries was her job as Secretary of State … so you want to beat her up for doing her job … geesh, with all his serial bankruptcies, Trump could use some of Clinton’s business acumen … otherwise, with all his overseas manufacturing he does with his companies, he’ll run us into a financial ditch!

          • at least he’s not Ticking Russia & the Philippines & China like Obama & Clinton Explain where 6 billion went to under her watch & why 4 men died while she was gun & missile running to make a buck the same guns ran in Fast & furious have been found in the hand of ISIS so how did they get there Saudi’s funded her she funded ISIS may of our ally’s are seeing this & dumping us calling us the great Satin Russia has a new missile very powerful with Great satan on it & her mentor was & is Saul Alinskey who was a devil worshiper. Watch Hillary’ s America you might learn a thing or two Just look how the Clinton machine works it’s global wikileaks is finding that out 3 dead or more in less than 7 months how often have you heard of anyone in wikileaks dying until now & many just this campaign .She can’t relate to the people she admitted that her own self to her banker friends they need money to pay their Bill old bill says well maybe they should sell the 4 mansons they own in the uSA & go live in their foreign homes I sure they have a nice one elsewhere maybe in the great Iranian area that intends to wipe out Israle &the USA trust her with your life she couldn’t even control her husband , her server, her staff, & was fired &lost her law license for lies & corruption.Unless you are very rich you have nothing at all that interests her or anything to offer her she is way above the law and any of us she would careless tomorrow if we all died & she just might see to it she even scares her own staff it’s all in the leaked emails

            • Sorry, you lose me at Satan and Devil Worshiper . . . it doesn’t even qualify as an ad hominem attack . . . it’s too Crazytown for me.

          • “Beat her up for doing her job” ? The woman is a total fuc* up who hasn’t done a damn thing in 30 years! You’re a doomed idiot… and you don’t even know it.
            LOL

            • If she “hasn’t done a damn thing in 30 years,” then why all the accusations of wrongdoing against her? If she’s done “nothing,” then she can’t have done anything wrong! Your words, not mine!

              • Typical, turn everything around…. She hasn’t done one damn thing good for this country. Turn that around how ever you want to.

      • When did Trump lie? Hillary has been caught in many lies but I do not remember any lies by Trump. Funny all the liberals loved Trump when he had his reality show now they follow the media like sheep and turned on him.

    • Kinda’ like Donnie . . . in his first 100 days, he says he’s going to sue the women who accused him of sexual harassment . . . now, there’s a man with a plan to lead this country.

  1. Whomever the article is talking to that has NC trending for Hillary vs 2012 needs to check their stats and stop smoking the bong. Absentee mail in ballots are a fraction of overall votes and should be ignored (for now). Look at in person votes: -9% Democrat (blacks -25%): R: +0; Independents +32% and heavy white (85%). 2012 In person early votes were 70% of Dem vote vs 50% R v. If this trend continues for in person and mail in, it’s a net gain of around 200k for Republicans assuming the white independents don’t lean Trump. Trump is on pace to lose 15k in mail in ballots but Hillary is on pace to lose over 200k in person ballots and that’s assuming the race of voters doesnt turn it more Trump.

    Good site for raw NC stats is http://www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com/

  2. If Hillary get elected, we are going to the third world war for sure!!!! England prime minister lady who known for badmouth just provoking Russia deliberately to drag her tiny nation and the west to nuclear war. people be wise who need some one very responsible and looking for common ground for our world.

  3. I find it funny that in this article you can tell it was just the hardest thing in the world to say Trump is winning something Lmao. They go out of their way to not clearly say it, take Ohio for example Trump is leading Undeniably I hope we can admit that I mean I live in the state and he just is, I wont even go into how the picture was two old white people, Somehow a black guy wins the state twice yet when a white guy wins against a white woman “The State is Too white” Which is racist as hell and kinda why Trump is winning to be honest. You shouldn’t act like that if your a liberal.

  4. I was registered Republican in 2012 but now I am registered Unaffiliated. I didn’t vote Romney in 2012 and this election I vote Trump.
    North Carolina Registered Voters
    Democrats Republicans Libertarians Unaffiliated
    2016 2,705,699 2,060,227 31,358 2,038,536
    2015 2,631,150 1,960,045 27,848 1,814,684
    2014 2,761,350 2,014,911 26,195 1,828,942
    2013 2,759,920 1,991,334 22,631 1,709,851
    2012 2,858,086 2,042,194 19,922 1,703,934 (Romney won only +92,004 votes)
    2008 2,870,500 2,005,482 4,122 1,402,471 (Obama won only +14,177 votes)

    You can try to compare 2016 and 2012 but it’s not comparable. Democrats have lost registered voters, Republicans stayed about the same and Independents grown by a lot.
    Democrats lost about 12k voters from 2008 to 2012 and Republicans gained about 37k. Romney swing was about 106k votes. So clearly unaffiliated had a huge role in that turn around. That’s with Black registration up 100k voters, Women voters nearly 150k more registered, from 2008 to 2012.

    2016 democrats have 150k less registered voters than 2012.. Republicans have 18k more. About 300k more unaffiliated voters.

  5. I have homes in both Florida and Ohio and see almost all Trump signs and people voting for him.

    A lot of my dad’s side of the family llive in Texas and they say it is the same there and said he will definitely win by a landslide there.

  6. Clinton= NO CHANGE!!!!! Wake up people! Aww, poor babies, did Trump hurt your feelings. Let me play my finger violin for you. We are talking about running the country!! Clinton has done nothing and will continue to do nothing. If Americans want REAL change, then act like it and vote for the candidate that will produce REAL change! Clinton supporters need to wake up and put aside their damaged, weak feelings and look at the lying, deceiving, conniving, money hungry candidate that they are voting for. Clinton’s are a joke!!

  7. Those are terrific numbers for Clinton in FLA. In 2012 Romney won the mail in by 4% by the time election day had come, early voting had cut that to under 1%. It’s already under 1% and likely will be a net positive for HRC by Nov 8th. I think she will win FLA by 1 to 2 %

  8. 30 people at the Tim Kane rally, literally 30 people, and Trump had over 20,000 at almost every rally. You mean to tell me she is leading in any state?! Lol

  9. Trump is winning. Please stop making it look like Hitlary is winning. Media is corrupt. Americans want the truth. Trump is a head. Please stop lying.

  10. Let’s put this into perspective. Hillary is a known evil so sick she represents all that is bad in the country from politics to personal this person represents EVIL. Trump is no choir boy but he stands closer to the things that are called good. This election is going to prove if America has fallen completely from God and willingly elects EVIL over what God calls good. Sodom and Gomorrah were destroyed by fire. Russia is threatening nuclear war. If America votes for EVIL I wonder if fire is all that America has to look forward to. If God does not punish America He is going to have to apologize to Sodom and Gomorrah. My hearts weeps for my nation as this country was so blessed by God for our starting this nation following Him. 200+ years later and we’ve fallen away from His will so far that unless we chose GOOD I believe we’re going to face true judgement for our nations sickness in sin. When you go to vote think about that are you EVIL or are you GOOD?

  11. Presidents will come and Presidents will go But USA goes on for ever!! Anyone who thinks that ONE single person [Whom we call POTUS – and FALSELY believe that the POTUS is the MOST POWERFUL person on God’s earth who can MAKE or BREAK a nation (16 TRILLION Dollars GDP) single handedly, lives in a LA LA Land!!!!!].

  12. Hey folks, if you don’t have voting by mail in your state, you should look into the benefits of that method and maybe encourage your secretary of state to explore the issue. We have done it in Oregon for about the last 20 years. We passed a referendum for vote-by-mail only and it bumped up our turnout by several percentage points. All partisanship aside, more people voting is a good thing! It seems periodically people raise the loose objection that this somehow erodes civic engagement. Well, first of all, I always feel bad on election day for all the many thousands of people who have to stand in long lines sometimes for hours! Secondly, other forms of civic engagement have evolved naturally since we started doing this. The state sends everyone a pamphlet in the mail a few weeks before they send the ballots. I know a lot of families take the time to read detailed arguments for the candidates and for the various measures together, and this surely increases the knowledge basis for making choices. Block parties and other neighborly rituals have become regular events too. I always enjoy this time of year during an election season because these occasions are fun and actually promote something like authentic political debate, which probably most people would agree is sorely lacking in media-structured events. Look into it! And provisional “best wishes” to everyone in cold places back east who will have to brave the fury of winter to vote! In Oregon we just get rain mostly. :)

  13. Trump has already gotten my early vote. If you want a PROVEN impeached rapist in the East wing of the White house vote for hillary, she has a PROVEN history of protecting rapists and intimidating their victims. If you care about your country’s and your children’s future, vote Trump! Set aside the media’s rhetoric and look at the important FACTS.

  14. Great read, sums it up for me!
    For anyone saying, “What has Trump Accomplished in just one year compared to Killary’s 30!
    #NoLongerTheSilentMajority
    #AmericansFedUp
    #MakeAmericaGreatAgain
    “Last night a friend claimed that Donald Trump wouldn’t make a good president; he is brash, he is racist, he is a loudmouth; you know the normal things people learn to recite after being programmed by television news. The one I loved was that, “Trump is arrogant.” My friend questioned if one man could make “that much difference in the world today.” To my friend’s credit, she was respectful enough to let me respond when she asked, “Really, what has Trump done?”
    I said, “In June of last year, Trump entered the race for president. In just a little over a year, Trump has single handedly defeated the Republican party. He did so thoroughly. In fact, he did so in such a resounding way that the Republican Party now suffers from an identity crisis. He literally dismantled the party. Trump even dismantled and dismissed the brand and value of the Bush family.
    Trump has Obama petrified that Trump will dismiss programs that weren’t properly installed using proper law.
    Trump has single handedly debunked and disemboweled any value of news media as we knew it—news now suffering from an all-time level of distrust and disrespect.
    Trump has leaders from all over the world talking about him, whether good or bad. Trust me, powerful men who have been president before weren’t liked by the global community. I doubt Mikhail Gorbachev liked Reagan when Reagan said, “Tear down that wall.”
    Trump has expressly disclosed the fraud perpetrated on the American public by Hillary Clinton. He has, quite literally, brought Hillary to her knees—if you believe that nervous tension and disorders offer physical side effects and damage.
    Trump has unified the silent majority in a way that should be patently frightening to “liberals.”
    As the press accuses Trump of being a house of cards, Trump has proven the press is the real house of cards. He has whipped up the entire establishment into pure panic. Trump has exposed them for who they are and worse, what they are. George Clooney was right when he said Trump draws live news coverage of his podium that he’s not yet approached. Thanks, George, you were perfectly correct.
    What we see as headline news today are actually the last bubbles from the ship that is now sunk—meaning the standard news media, as a propaganda machine, has been exposed. They have no more value.
    In the same way Trump asked the African-American community this question, I asked my friend, ”At this point, what do you have to lose?” We have mass cop shootings, riots in our streets, ambushed cops, double digit inflation, bombs blowing up in our cities, targeted police, #BLM, a skyrocketing jobless rate, no economic growth, privately owned land being seized by the federal government, the worst racial tension in my lifetime, no God in schools, more abortions than ever, illegal aliens pouring into our country, sick veterans receiving no care, and a debt that doubled in seven years to $19 trillion. Are you really happy with the condition of the current system?
    One man has done all of this in one year—one guy, and on his own dime. And with everything I’ve written above, you believe Trump hasn’t done anything? You claim that you are afraid of Donald Trump? No wonder we’re in trouble. You can say that Trump is a lousy presidential candidate. That’s your right. Just don’t ever say he’s not effective.
    That Megan Kelly, FOX News, CNN, MSNBC, Washington Post, Rachel Maddow, the Huffington Post, the New York Times, Raleigh’s News and Observer, the AP, Don Lemon, Jake Tapper, and many more, failed to implement their collectively orchestrated lie on the American people against Trump, is actually a massive testament to Trump. The press colluded pure propaganda to accomplish his demise … and they have collectively failed and miserably.
    Here’s just one example of how badly America is injured right now. There are high school football players on their knees during the national anthem simply because the press used as propaganda to program those kids to do that very thing. But, these kids are mimicking NFL stars the same way the same kids chooses which brand of football shoe to purchase—they’re overtly brain-washed to do that very thing.
    Now, we have a generation of children who hate America.
    America’s problem isn’t that little children are on their knee in collective disrespect of America. Our problem is that America is on her knee from collective disrespect by Americans.
    You can disrespect America all you want. But, it’s high-time you respect the silent majority. Because they’re not simply the “silent majority” as you’ve been trained to believe when Hillary calls them “deplorables.” The fact is, they are simply the majority. And now they’re no longer silent either. Donald Trump changed all of that, single-handedly and within one year.” From Be Forbes.

  15. The Syrian refugees are coming here because super rich countries like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, United emirates, etc.. don’t want them and paid Hillary 100s of millions to her foundation for the US to take them…Unless you believe she cares about women and babies and vetting…lol
    I’m pretty sure most intelligent people care more about our country’s state of affairs, and Hillary’s unending corruption, treason, murder, theft, perjury, election fraud, etc….

  16. The problem in this country is that it is divided, and needs to become two countries. The blue states are like a bunch of deadbeat siblings. If the red states separated from the blue states, the Red America would probably have an unparalleled, successful, growing economy, and the Blue America would become a third world country in less than a decade.

    • How did the civil war end up for you the last time???? California is one of the world’s largest economies by itself, would it become a third world country? My map seems to have some pretty powerful cities in the blue states…I would think New York, Philly, Boston, LA, Pittsburgh, Seattle. need I go on. Plus all the Ivy league University would be in the blue. I believe I read we”blue voters” are college educated, too. I think we will be ok. Maybe you should worry about yourselves if you want to break out on your own. Here in Pittsburgh we lost our steel mills 25+ years ago and we adapted and moved on, we now are leaders in medicine, robotics and research, and banking…so sorry we will be just fine!

  17. You damn Globalist morons. Hillary winning means WW3 with Russia, confiscating all guns, moving further towards dictatorship

  18. ALL ABOARD! THE YOUNG PEOPLE AND INDEPENDENTS ARE TURNING TO TRUMP IN DROVES!

    ALL ELECTIONS SWING IN THE FINAL 10-14 DAYS AND DESPITE ALL THE PRESS SAYING NOT, THE EVIDENCE IS OVERWHELMING THAT TRUMP IS GAINING MORE AND MORE SUPPORT AS PEOPLE REALIZE HOW HILLARY & HER COLLABORATORS HAVE LIED & CHEATED, EVEN BREAKING CAMPAIGN LAWS!

    DRAIN THAT SWAMP!

    VOTE TRUMP- FOR THE SAKE OF HONEST GOVERNMENT….FOR A CHANGE!

  19. No Way Hillary wins Florida or Ohio…. as long as Trump people continue to come out and vote.. This election is not about Trump… it’s about THE PEOPLE vs Washington DC, Media and Hillary thinking she’s above the law!! This election is about “The People” taking back washington.. to drain the swamp!!

  20. Clinton is about to be indicted again as of 10/28/16. Can anyone stop this criminal insane horrid woman who has just been announced by her own team as being drunk most days on her campaign. Quote by a campaign team member, Can we sober her up yet for the speech?

  21. Get over all the crap people, we can’t have this country run the way it has been for the past umpteen years! Trump is the only one who can get this machine back on track, clinto n wants to give away what little we have left of this country! ,it’s not rep. or demo. it’s who can get the illeagles out of this country and renegociocate our trade contracts and get back jobs.this guy has given up his billionaire lifestyle to help the poor( financially and in spirit) in this country! do you clinton supporters really want another 4,8, years of the same crap??? if you do vote for her! your grand kids will be paying for it all,did you know were still paying for the civil war!!!!! wake up america the powers to be wantsto join Mexico,USA,Canada as one country! and other countries better know as the 12 heads,one world govt., do you really like supporting millions of illeagles from all the countries that are already here and Obamma wants to let more in! I’m tired of supporting them and there costing Americans billions of dollars running this country into the ground. what are you going to do when they kick you out of your own house. terroists are just around the corner and there coming closer and closer to our families every day! in all sorts of horrific ways! Wake up you Clinton fans….even if trump wins there still coming but perhaps he can slow them down by making the ruls work for us,for a change!

  22. It is this simple- I will not accept a Hillary (Criminal) Presidency. If this demon wins, perhaps the time has come for patriots to take back this country.

  23. What a democracy! See the two old black ladies going for voting. These people decide our fate? I am not talking about ‘black’ but the face and appearance showing utter lack of any mental faculty to think beyond self pity interest.

  24. Why in the world would people vote for a megomaniac. He is all about himself and no one else despite what he espouses. While I agree there was not a good candidate to vote for why would any choose the worst of the two. I have an answer but it may be too insulting to the populous.