Miami vs. Florida State: Point Spread, Total & Prediction

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Miami and No. 12 Florida State square off under the lights at Doak Campbell Stadium as ABC’s Saturday Night Football heads to Tallahassee for the in-state rivalry game. The Seminoles are 4-0 while the Hurricanes are 3-1.

While Miami is 3-1, the Hurricanes are coming off a loss to Cincinnati and best win came against a 2-3 Nebraska team in overtime.

According to OddsShark, Florida State is favored by 9 points. The Seminoles have done just enough to win each game they have played against inferior opponents. Both teams are 2-2 against the spread this season.

The over/under is set at 50 for Saturday night’s game. Miami is 2-2 on the over/under this season while Florida State is 1-3. According to OddsShark, the total has gone under in seven of the last 10 contests for Florida State. The total has also been under in five of the last six road games for the Hurricanes.

Florida State looks like the much better team. Historically, Florida State has played down to inferior opponents, but often shine brightest in marquee games. The F+ ratings rank Florida State eighth while Miami is ranked 50th.

The OddsShark computer likes Miami to pull off the upset by a score of 21.6 to 19.1. The computer likes Miami against the spread and the under on the point total.

I like Florida State to win this one comfortably and prove the computer wrong. Everett Golson and the Seminoles will have their best performance of the season at home under the lights against the Hurricanes.

Heavy’s Pick: Florida State 27, Miami 14. Florida State -9. Under the point total.