With the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers set to meet for an NBA championship for the third year in a row, the 28 other teams across the league are preparing for the 2017 NBA draft.
If this year’s postseason was any indication, there aren’t many squads that are anywhere near the level of Golden State or Cleveland, but the draft is a good way to help close the gap–especially with neither of those teams owning a first-round pick this year. Only a small percentage of rookies typically make an immediate impact, but this year’s class is deep and full of guys who look like potential studs.
With that in mind, here’s a look at my first-round projections, as well as a breakdown of the first couple of picks:
2017 NBA Mock Draft
Pick
Team
Player
College
1
Celtics
Markelle Fultz
Washington
2
Lakers
Lonzo Ball
UCLA
3
76ers
Malik Monk
Kentucky
4
Suns
Josh Jackson
Kansas
5
Kings
De’Aaron Fox
Kentucky
6
Magic
Jayson Tatum
Duke
7
Timberwolves
Jonathan Isaac
Florida State
8
Knicks
Frank Ntilikina
France
9
Mavericks
Dennis Smith
NC State
10
Kings
Lauri Markkanen
Arizona
11
Hornets
Zach Collins
Gonzaga
12
Pistons
Justin Jackson
North Carolina
13
Nuggets
Isaiah Hartenstein
Germany
14
Heat
Jarrett Allen
Texas
15
Blazers
OG Anunoby
Indiana
16
Bulls
Terrance Ferguson
Adelaide
17
Bucks
Justin Patton
Creighton
18
Pacers
T.J. Leaf
UCLA
19
Hawks
Ivan Rabb
California
20
Blazers
John Collins
Wake Forest
21
Thunder
Donovan Mitchell
Louisville
22
Nets
Harry Giles
Duke
23
Raptors
Rodions Kurucs
Latvia
24
Jazz
Ike Anigbogu
UCLA
25
Magic
Luke Kennard
Duke
26
Blazers
Jawun Evans
Oklahoma State
27
Nets
Bam Adebayo
Kentucky
28
Lakers
Tyler Lydon
Syracuse
29
Spurs
Jordan Bell
Oregon
30
Jazz
Semi Ojeleye
SMU
1. Boston Celtics: Markelle Fultz, PG, Washington
The Celtics are in an interesting position in that they already have a roster good enough to advance to the conference finals but also have highly valuable assets in the form of this year’s top pick and the Nets’ pick next year, which is likely to be another lottery selection.
As such, a trade is a potential option here. The C’s are obviously in win-now mode, and shipping some of their young pieces plus an elite pick for a superstar like Jimmy Butler is something that often gets mentioned, but according to the Chicago Tribune‘s K.C. Johnson, the Celtics wouldn’t deal this pick in February without protections, so it’s highly unlikely they do so now that they’re set in stone at No. 1.
Assuming they keep the pick, Fultz makes the most sense.
While it may create a bit of a backcourt log-jam, Fultz’s ability to play both guard positions makes it a lot easier for Brad Stevens to sort out the rotation. He’s versatile enough to play the 2 next to fellow former Husky Isaiah Thomas, while he can run the show when IT goes to the bench.
There are 96 minutes to go around at the two guard positions, and something like 35 for Thomas, 31 for Fultz, and 30 for Avery Bradley comes out to a potentially killer guard rotation for Boston. A Thomas-Fultz combo could be unstoppable offensively, while a Fultz-Bradley backcourt has the potential to be extremely disruptive on the defensive end.
2. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG, UCLA
(Getty)
It’s difficult, but forget about all the Lavar Ball theatrics and predictions and ridiculous comments. Forgot about the guarantee of his son playing for the Lakers and the circus that is likely to follow. From an on-court perspective, Lonzo Ball is a tremendous fit for the Lake Show.
Bringing in a true point guard with a pass-first mentality is exactly what the Lakers need, and that’s what they’ll get with Ball, who helped UCLA to the 20th-fastest tempo and second best adjusted offensive efficiency last season, per Ken Pomeroy. There are concerns about his defense and his jump shot, but having one elite skill at this age–as he does with his passing and court vision–can take you a long way.
Inserting Ball at point guard allows D’Angelo Russell to play a more comfortable role as a scorer, while the Lakers’ young guys like Julius Randle, Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac should all benefit from having a pass-first player running the offense.
3. Philadelphia 76ers: Malik Monk, SG, Kansas
(Getty)
Every draft has some sort of surprise near the top. Josh Jackson is the assumed pick at this spot, and a good argument can even be made for him going No. 1 overall, so this would certainly classify as a surprise.
The Sixers, though, need an infusion of scoring, shooting and athleticism in the backcourt. With T.J. McConnell and Gerald Henderson at the guard spots last year, they ranked last in offensive rating and 25th in three-point percentage. Ben Simmons, who is expected to step in at point guard, certainly stands as an upgrade for the team’s offense, but they will still need someone to help stretch the floor, as the LSU product is generally considered a poor outsider shooter.
Enter Monk, who can be streaky but can also heat up faster than a microwave:
My personal opinion would be to take Jackson at this spot, as his ability as a two-way player is awfully compelling. But this is a prediction, and you have to think one of the most offensively-challenged teams in the league takes a long look at the most explosive scorer in the draft.
NBA Mock Draft 2017: Updated 1st-Round Projections, NBA Finals Edition