The NASCAR Cup Series circuit heads to the Texas Motor Speedway this Sunday, May 3. The Würth 400 is the 11th race of the 2026 season, scheduled for 267 laps and 400 miles around the 1.5-mile track.
As the series returns to a 1.5-mile track, the oddsmakers have narrowed down a few of the usual suspects to win. Meanwhile, there are a number of longshots worth looking at. Here, we will take a look at the odds for the NASCAR Cup Series at Texas.
Denny Hamlin enters Texas as the favorite
In the odds released by DraftKings Sportsbooks, as of Thursday afternoon Eastern time, Denny Hamlin is the favorite to win Sunday’s Würth 400. At +400 odds, the driver of the No. 11 is a three-time Texas winner, but never in the NextGen era.
Hamlin has two top-five finishes in the last five Texas races, but also two finishes of 30th or worse. On 1.5-mile tracks this season, Hamlin has a win at Las Vegas and led the most laps at Kansas.
Tyler Reddick has the next-best odds at +550. The driver of the No. 45 has one victory at Texas that came in 2022, the first points-paying Texas race of the NextGen era. Reddick has since placed a best of fourth in 2024.
Reddick won the last 1.5-mile race in 2026 at Kansas after passing Kyle Larson on the final lap. This Sunday, the 23XI Racing driver seeks his sixth win in the season’s first 11 races.
Kyle Larson enters Texas with +650 odds to win. The driver of the No. 5 placed fourth at Texas last year and won the 2021 fall race at the track. In addition to that win, Larson won the NASCAR All-Star Race at Texas that same year.
The two-time and defending Cup champion continues to be in a winless slump, with his latest victory coming in April 2025 at Kansas. In 2026, Larson has three top fives and six top 10s.
Bubba Wallace and other NASCAR longshots for Texas
Last year’s NASCAR Cup Series race saw 16 caution flags, tying the record for the most in the track’s history. If the chaos from last year’s race carries over this year, it is worth looking at some underdogs.
At +1800 to win, Bubba Wallace is a longshot to keep an eye on. The driver of the No. 23 has one top five and two top 10s in the last three Texas races. In 2023, the 23XI Racing started on the pole, won stage one, and led a race-high 111 laps before finishing third.
Brad Keselowski also enters Texas at +1800 odds. The driver of the No. 6 finished runner-up at the 1.5-mile track in 2024. With three Texas runner-up finishes total, Keselowski is still searching for his first Texas victory.
At +10,000 to win, Austin Dillon could be a major dark horse this Sunday. The driver of the No. 3 won at Texas in 2020 and has finished top 10 in the last two Texas races.
Sunday’s Würth 400 at the Texas Motor Speedway is scheduled to begin at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time. The race can be watched on FS1 or listened to on the Performance Racing Network.
NASCAR Odds: Who Are The Favorites to Win at Texas?