Hurricane Maria’s Path: Is it On the Same Track as Irma?
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Hurricane Maria’s Path: Is it On the Same Track as Irma?

National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Maria – soon to be Hurricane Maria – is taking a similar path, at least so far, as Hurricane Irma. That has a lot of people in Florida and, especially, throughout the Caribbean, on edge.

However, is Hurricane Maria really taking a similar path to Hurricane Irma? The answer is yes, in its early stages (and you can see the forecast cones for both later in this article). However, the September 18 spaghetti and forecast cone models show that Maria may then veer to the north and miss the United States and Florida completely. Be aware, though, that these are just projections, and they also preliminarily showed Irma hitting the east coast or veering out to sea before she shifted course and struck the western coast of Florida.

Cyclocane has some of the best updated spaghetti models on Maria. See the Cyclocane Tropical Storm Maria spaghetti model page here and here. The weather tracking site also has a page of other models for following the storm’s path. The models also show Maria twisting north before striking Florida.

SebastianDaily.com notes, “The latest Spaghetti model for Tropical Storm Maria may show no threat to Florida at this time, but the National Hurricane Center warns it’s too early to predict a path.” After all, again, Irma shifted course, with models originally predicting an east coast landfall – and then hitting Miami and even South Carolina – or showing the storm heading back to sea. Then, she struck in the Naples area. However, the Maria models look somewhat more favorable for Florida than Irma’s did.

Let’s compare some of the forecast cone models put out by the National Hurricane Center for Maria and Irma. One difference, though: Wind strength. Irma was a monster, with wind speeds of 185 mph as she hit the Caribbean. Although Maria is expected to become a hurricane on Sunday, and she’s nearing the Leeward Islands (sound familiar?), her wind speeds on Sunday were 65 mph, according to CNN. The wind speeds grew to 110 mph on Monday.

Here’s a September 18 model for Maria:

Hurricane Maria map, Hurricane Maria track, Hurricane Maria path

NHC/NOAAHurricane Maria forecast at 8 a.m. from the National Hurricane Center.

Here’s an early cone projection for Irma:

hurricane irma map

National Weather ServiceThe path of Hurricane Irma on September 4 at 8:30 p.m. Eastern Time.

Here’s a spaghetti model for September 18 for Maria:

SFWMDSeptember 18 spaghetti model for Maria.

Here’s an early spaghetti model for Irma:

irma spaghetti model

South Florida Water Management DistrictSpaghetti model of Hurricane Irma on September 5.

Now, let’s revisit how the path of Irma shifted over the days before it struck Florida. Here are the cones from oldest to the point it struck:

Hurricane Irma Disney World, Disney world closed, will Disney World close

NOAAHurricane Irma projection from the NOAA as of 8:00 a.m. September 5.

Hurricane Irma Jacksonville, Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Irma track

NHC/NOAAThe National Hurricane Center’s map from 8 a.m. Sept. 6.

irma path

NWSThe Irma forecast cone as of the morning of September 7.

NHCHurricane Irma forecast for September 8 in the morning.

National Hurricane CenterThe latest map of Hurricane Irma as of 11 a.m. on September 9.

NHC11 a.m. Sunday Sept. 10 Irma forecast.

Here are some of the September 17 Hurricane Maria maps from the National Weather Service:

Hurricane Maria Dominican Republic

National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico

National Hurricane Center

Nothing in Florida – including Key West and the Florida Keys – makes the September 17 list of hurricane watches and warnings put out by the National Hurricane Center:

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…13.6N 56.9W
ABOUT 405 MI…655 KM SE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…994 MB…29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of France has issued a Hurricane Warning for
Guadeloupe and a Tropical Storm Warning for Martinique.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Martinique
* St. Lucia

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

See the National Hurricane Center’s Maria page here.

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JOHN MAYOR

THE GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOLOGY OF GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOSIS
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The word “meteorology”… from metéōros and ology… is a perverse transliteration of the Greek word, μετέωρος! And this perverse etymology, is proffered by… oddly enough!… the likes of Wiktionary (see h-t-t-p-s://en(dot)wiktionary(dot)org/wiki/μετέωρος)!
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However!… and re this justification by Wiktionary!… although the Greek prefixal morphemic element, μετα-/ meta-, for “above”, is correct, and the Greek suffixal morphemic element, -λογία/ -logia, for “-(o)logy”, for “the study of”, is correct, the imposed interpolation and ascription of the infixal morphemic element, “ἀείρω”/ aeiro, as equal to “ωρος”, is wrong!
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For simply!… it’s tantamount to equating the Greek term, “ωρος”, with “ἀείρω”… and hence, with aeiro, and with metéōros!
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But, the adjective “μετέωρος” refers not so much to a literal corporeal “lifting up (let alone… a ‘lifting up into the air’!)”, but rather, refers to a metaphoric lifting up, or suspension, of an abstraction of the mind! In this connection, note the ensuing passage of Plutarch, wherein, the term has the meaning of “uncertain”, “confused”: “οὕτω σοι διασέσεισμαι καὶ γέγονα μετέωρος ὑπὸ Στωικῶν ἀνδρῶν (Plu. De comm. not. adu. Stoic. 1059a)”… and: “I have been so shaken and confused by certain Stoics.”
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Furthermore, the following Biblehub commentaries (see h-t-t-p-s://biblehub(dot)com/commentaries/luke/12-29.htm) make no reference to the use of the Greek terms, “ἀείρω”, or aeiro, in connection with μετέωρος or “ωρος”! (Use “Ctrl+F”!… for three citations!)
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Nevertheless!… the Greek use, ἀτμός (atmos), meaning “vapor”, and σφαῖρα (sphaira), meaning “sphere”… and combined, creating, ατμόσφαιρα (for “atmosphere”!)!… are, together, a much more efficient and effective– and, I suggest, PRECISE!– expression for our use with -λογία/ -logia/ “-(o)logy”! And also, inasmuch as our study of the atmosphere is oft made synonymous with the notion of “change”, our inclusion of the infixal morphemic element, “morpho(s)”, is– at least, to science!– a prerequisite “dimension” of our study! And therefore!… the GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOLOGY (study of earth’s atmospheric change) of our gaiaatmospheromorphosis (process of earth’s atmospheric change), is a more RATIONAL EXPRESSION for our, “science of the stuff of the air”! And!… should include the hereinafter outlined 2+2 Primary disciplines, and 6+6 “sub-fields” beneath these! Otherwise, GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOLOGY becomes a “grabbag” of everything… and nothing!… and, is unable to properly address the elemental etiologies that/ which give rise to our gaiaatmospheromorphosis!
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ATTENTION HEAVY COMMENT LOGGERS/ CLOGGERS AND READERS!:…
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PLEASE DISCARD THE EARLIER “GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOTIC NOMENCLATURE” THAT WAS PRESENTED UNDER JESSICA MCBRIDE’S BLOG, TITLED, ARKEMA CHEMICAL PLANT FIRE IN CROSBY: VIDEOS & PHOTOS… AS THE ENSUING VERSION IS MUCH MORE COMPREHENSIVE, AND– I SUGGEST!– MUCH MORE EFFICIENT AND EFFECTIVE! NEXT, IF YOU’RE USING MICROSOFT’S WINDOWS OS, OPEN A TEXT FILE WITHIN N-O-T-E-P-A-D, SWITCH TO CONSOLAS’ “BOLD FONT (OR SIMILAR ‘MONOSPACE FONT’– BUT, USING ONLY THE ‘8-POINT’ FONT SETTING… AND THUS, ENABLING YOU TO SEE THE ENSUING IN GREATER DETAIL!)”, AND THEN PASTE THIS ENTIRE COMMENT THEREIN, TITLE IT, AND EXPAND YOUR NOTEPAD EPAGE VIEWING TO FULL SCREEN! AND ALTHOUGH THE EPAGE SHOULD BE READ IN “WORD WRAP MODE (SEE CHECKMARK FOR ‘WORD WRAP’ UNDER FORMAT IN NOTEPAD!)”, IF YOUR EPAGE DOES NOT APPEAR “MARGINALLY FLUSH”, SIMPLY “UNCHECK THE WRAP OPTION” UNDER FORMAT, AND THEN FORTHWITH RESTORE THE SAME CHECKMARK!
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PATHOS (CATEGORY ONE):
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GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHOLOGY: STUDIED PATHIC EARTH ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE (X3 PATHOLOGIES);
GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHIATRY: TREATED PATHIC EARTH ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE (X3 PATHIATRIES):
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ANTHROPOGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHOLOGY: STUDIED PATHIC HUMAN-GENERATED ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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ANTHROPOGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHIATRY: TREATMENT OF PATHIC HUMAN-BORN ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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GAIAPHYOGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHOLOGY: STUDIED PATHIC EARTH-GENERATED ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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GAIAPHYOGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHIATRY: TREATMENT OF PATHIC EARTH-BORN ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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ECTOGAIAGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHOLOGY: STUDIED PATHIC EXOGÊ-GENERATED ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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ECTOGAIAGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHIATRY: TREATMENT OF PATHIC EXOGÊ-BORN ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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HUGIÉS (CATEGORY TWO):
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GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉOLOGY: STUDIED HUGIÉS EARTH ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE (X3 UGIÉOLOGIES);
GAIAATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉONOMY: MANAGED HUGIÉS EARTH ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE (X3 UGIÉONOMIES):
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ANTHROPOGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉOLOGY: STUDIED HUGIÉS HUMAN-GENERATED ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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ANTHROPOGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉONOMY: A CONTROL OF HUGIÉS HUMAN-BORN ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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GAIAPHYOGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉOLOGY: STUDIED HUGIÉS EARTH-GENERATED ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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GAIAPHYOGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉONOMY: A CONTROL OF HUGIÉS EARTH-BORN ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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ECTOGAIAGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉOLOGY: STUDIED HUGIÉS EXOGÊ-GENERATED ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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ECTOGAIAGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉONOMY: A CONTROL OF HUGIÉS EXOGÊ-BORN ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE
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Please!… no emails!… Jesus is Lord!
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P.S.: Although GAIA alone could have been used to prefix “GENE…” within the SECOND TANDEM SET of each of the 2 MAIN CATEGORIES, the “clipped version” could be said to include the “human factor”! And therefore, PHYO is added to GAIA to make clear that one is referring to earth’s NATURE alone!… and therewith, allowing the respective ANTHROPIC PATHOS AND HUGIÉS TANDEM CATEGORIES within the FIRST TANDEM SET of each of the 2 MAIN CATEGORIES, to refer to human-generated atmospheromorphosis! Lastly, ECTOGAIA prefixes the THIRD TANDEM SET of each of the 2 MAIN CATEGORIES, to distinguish between EXTERNAL ETIOLOGIES acting on the earth (etiologies from OUTSIDE the earth!), and those etiologies attributable to the earth’s inherent NATURAL FORCES, and its ANTHROPIC POPULATION!
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PLEASE NOTE: Examples of “ECTOGAIAGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOPATHY and ECTOGAIAGENEATMOSPHEROMORPHOUGIÉS” may include Solar impacts, and other energetic states, and natural organic, and inorganic materials!… and, possibly, artificially created inorganic materials!
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ὑγιὴς (HUGIÉS… sound, whole, healthy):
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FORMS AND TRANSLITERATIONS OF HUGIÉS:
(υγιεις υγιείς ὑγιεῖς υγιη υγιή ὑγιῆ υγιης υγιής ὑγιής ὑγιὴς υγιούς υγιώς) hygie hygiê hygiē hygiē̂ hygieis hygieîs hygies hygiēs hygiḗs hygiḕs ugie (ugiē) ugieis ugies (ugiēs)
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ὑγιαίνω (hugiaino… the participle, and verb, “healthy”):
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h-t-t-p://www(DOT)preceptaustin(DOT)org/titus_19#s; h-t-t-p://www(DOT)biblestudytools(DOT)com/lexicons/greek/kjv/hugiaino.html
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h-t-t-p-s://billmounce(DOT)com/greek-dictionary/hygiaino

JOHN MAYOR

Jessica!… note the 15N and 55W plotting on your map! That area would appear to be the same area that hurricanes have developed from, since the NOAA first began mapping storms in this area! And in examining this area, a unique large (AND VERY LARGE!… NO, “VERY, VERY LARGE”!… BUT, ET CETERA!) floating… yea, mobile!… “technic(ly) equipped platform” came to my mind, that/ which would deliberately follow and position itself at the INSIDE PERIMETER of the EYE of such a “nascent hurricane (through satellite technoma!… and wherever this storm moves to!)”, that/ which could provide an “ANTI-EVAPORATIVE TECHNOMIC METHOD”, to interfere with the EARLY BUILDUP of these “evaporative meteorologic events (a.k.a., Tropical Cyclones!)”! That is to say!… THE “EARLIEST BUILDUP”!… AND, NOT THE EVOLUTION OF THE “ORIGINATING EVAPORATIVE METEOROLOGIC EVENT”! Enough said!
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FOR MY PURPOSES, I’m NOT INTERESTED in examining the EVOLUTION of these storms to their “LARGER UGLY FORMATIONS”, but with their EARLIEST DEMARCATABLE DYNAMICS! In other words, I’M ONLY INTERESTED IN “WHERE ‘X’ MARKS THE ‘DYNAMIC-SPOT’ OF ORIGINATION”, AND, THE “INSIDE PERIMETER” OF THE “EYES” THESE “Xes”, IN REAL TIME!
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It would an interesting… yea, constructive blog!… if a HEAVY SOMEBODY would chronologically put these storm maps next to one another, in order to obtain a “geographic average” of the “ORIGINATING ZONE” for these hurricanes!… AND FROM NOAA’S VERY FIRST MAPPING OF THIS OCEANIC AREA! And maybe, thereby, providing us with a MITIGATING SOLUTION for these storms, given our ability to isolate their AREA OF ORIGINATION! And it dawned on me, that the method I have in mind, could mitigate these early buildups from ANYWHERE IN THE WORLD! (Please note: Heavy bloggers who prefer “Comments Closed” are… How shall I say it?– bloggers with whom I can’t COMMUNICATE! And!… for OBVIOUS REASONS!)
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Please!… no emails!… Jesus is Lord!
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h-t-t-p-s://spaceplace(DOT)nasa(DOT)gov/hurricanes/en/

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