This season has not gotten off to the start head coach Aaron Glenn was hoping for in his first season leading the New York Jets. Now he has an opportunity with his quarterback Justin Fields back and healthy to knock off a division rival on the road in the first of two Monday Night Football kickoffs.
Here’s how the Jets will look to upset the Miami Dolphins as 2.5 point road underdogs.
Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown (+195 FD)
Until this price gets adjusted, this will be an auto play for me. Quarterbacks are a danger to get in the endzone any time the ball is in the red zone. Add in that this is a run first quarterback in a prime time matchup, you get a bad misspricing.
In his one full game this year, Fields found pay dirt on the ground twice. In his six starts last season for the Pittsburgh Steelers, he scored on the ground five times.
This is a principle play with no real justification needed. Triple your money on a prop that has hit more times than it hasn’t. Play it straight and sweat it out whenever the Jets get down near the goal line.
Breece Hall o2.5 Receptions (-152 FD)
I like any Breece Hall angle you’ve got for tonight. The Dolphins have been gashed on the ground, allowing for more than 120 yards in all three games this season. Two of those three teams went for more than 150 on them.
This one attacks Hall through the air, with a number that I think is deflated by circumstance. Hall has had two, two, and four receptions on the year. The four came with a different quarterback under center.
I like the line because of the Dolphins heavy man coverage tendency. Hall will have linebackers covering him and I believe Tanner Engstrand will take advantage of this with designed routes out of the back field.
Opposing running backs have cleared this line in all three games of the season.
Breece Hall o82.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-114 FD)
As I mentioned, I like Breece Lightning any way you can get him. This one is just betting on Breece Hall to have a good game on prime time.
Whether you see this being a heavy run script in a game the Jets are winning, or a come from behind effort through the air, this one can get home in multiple ways.
The Dolphins have been gashed on the ground in every game this season. The Dolphins have been gashed through the air by running backs in every game this season.
Lets cover all our bases and take the electrifying RB to pick up some yards any way he can.
Same Game Parlay +365 Odds
I usually like to get a little juicier with my same game parlays, but with Justin Fields only playing in one game healthy on the season, it’s hard to predict what this offense will look like in Week 4.
Same Game Parlay
- Breece Hall over 82.5 rushing + receiving yards
- Breece Hall over 2.5 receptions
- Mason Taylor 2+ receptions (-310 FD)
- Garrett Wilson 5+ receptions (-250 FD)
We know Breece Hall is our smash play, but as far as the rest of the roster is concerned, someone else is going to have to contribute. I like backing the best player on the team to make five catches and keep the chains moving against a weak Dolphins secondary.
Additionally, I think Justin Fields legs unlock real potention for Mason Taylor to continue his solid play and get his paws on the rock on a couple play action or RPO style plays.
I like both Taylor and Wilson’s regular receptions line, (2.5 and 5.5) but for the sake of safety, I bought a catch on each.
MNF Prop Bets: Odds, Best Player Props, Parlays For Jets